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#1
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... and it's not even close. Yeah - it's only 5k hands - short term variance - etc... but not this bad. There's no way this is just "bad luck." I'm doing something wrong here. I'm 100% sure that my AF is too high, but I'm also 100% sure that's not the only thing I'm doing wrong (and I'm 100% sure I don't know how to fix that either).
I don't know why my AF is so high. I've been folding to turn raises from passive/straightforward players unless I have better than top pair or a draw with odds... I've been trying to avoid excessively bluffing in multiway pots... etc... but my AF is still up there. I put in over 200 hours of play at $3/$6 and $5/$10 to build up the BR to get up here and I want to succeed in it, but I don't want to do it at the risk of going broke. If I'm running insanely bad that's one thing, but if I need to drop back to $5/$10 to figure things out I can accept that. Thanks to rakeback I do still have 250BBs for $10/$20 on top of this 265BB downswing, so I could tough it out in $10/$20 for another 100BB and then drop back with 300BBs for $5/$10 if it comes to that. Stats below... suggestions please. Be as harsh as you wish. You can't possibly say anything worse than I've said to myself already: ![]() |
#2
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From what I've heard (I've never played 10/20), but there is a lot more raising and semibluffing with less than top pair at that game.
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#3
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[ QUOTE ]
there is a lot more raising and semibluffing with less than top pair at that game. [/ QUOTE ] I've read that before several times, but in the ~10k hands or so prior to this downswing, whenever I'd call down after a turn raise I'd expect to lose - and did most of the time... at least that is what stands out in memory. |
#4
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You don't have to win a majority of the time for it to be profitable, but I'm sure you know that. Good luck with this - the only other things I see in your stats are maybe defend the BB more often and maybe play a few more hands? I'm really not qualified to help that much.
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#5
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You fold too much. WtSD of 32 in combination with 21 vpip means you're letting them run over you.
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#6
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[ QUOTE ]
You fold too much. WtSD of 32 in combination with 21 vpip means you're letting them run over you. [/ QUOTE ] AF is calculated as (Bet + Raise) / Call... perhaps my incorrect tendency to fold when I should call down is artificially increasing my aggro factor? In my overall $5/$10 stats I'm calling the river almost twice as much as I am now and my AF is significantly lower... [censored], I may be folding tons of hands that would have ended up being winners. |
#7
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[quoteI may be folding tons of hands that would have ended up being winners.
[/ QUOTE ] There is no "may" to it... you most definitely are! |
#8
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I haven't played 10/20, but my impression acorss all previous levels is that outrageous AFs (and yours is nutso) are generally produced by folding too much instead of betting / raising too much.
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#9
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Your AF is way off the charts. Try to get it down to 2, don't play raise or fold poker as much and try to call down more
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#10
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You're folding your blinds too much and you're getting run over postflop.
Rob |
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