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#1
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Fold this AA?
Button is 42.5/0/0.1/31/50 after ~45 hands.
Absolute, 6 max, 0.5 BB NL, currently 5 handed Button (116.62) Hero (166.45) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] in MP Pre-flop: UTG limps, Hero raises to 2.5, Button calls, 3 folds Flop (6.25): 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 10[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Hero bets 5, Button calls Turn (16.25): Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Hero bets 10, Button min-raises to 20, Hero calls I immediately think AQ or QQ. 33, 22, and TT are all possibilities too, looking back now. Slight chance of KK too, I suppose. Should I have folded to the min-raise? I'm not very good at doing that when I have aces... River (46.25): 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Hero checks, Button bets 40, Hero folds. Getting around 9.5:4 for the call here. Anyone make it? I just can't see villain having AQ or KK in this case 30%+ of the time. Thanks for all comments. |
#2
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Re: Fold this AA?
Do you have a specific read that leads you to believe that the opponent will call your PSB on the flop with just 2 overcards?
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#3
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Re: Fold this AA?
[ QUOTE ]
Do you have a specific read that leads you to believe that the opponent will call your PSB on the flop with just 2 overcards? [/ QUOTE ] No, nothing specific like that. So it's all a deduction based on his PT numbers. |
#4
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Re: Fold this AA?
Well you don't have many hands on this guy. 45 is a molecule. But if he's as loose & especially as passive as the numbers seem to suggest, I see very little chance you're ahead after the turn minraise. I could easily be wrong here, but I'm giving a lot of thought to folding. Then again, I may call then block the river. That might be the better play.
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#5
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Re: Fold this AA?
[ QUOTE ]
Well you don't have many hands on this guy. 45 is a molecule. But if he's as loose & especially as passive as the numbers seem to suggest, I see very little chance you're ahead after the turn minraise. I could easily be wrong here, but I'm giving a lot of thought to folding. Then again, I may call then block the river. That might be the better play. [/ QUOTE ] I'm with you on the river block, Grunch. About how much does the trick? $20-$25? |
#6
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Re: Fold this AA?
I don't block less than half pot. You don't want it to look like a block. I mean, your opponent doesn't have to know what the function of a blocking bet is to know that donk-betting ~20 in to a $45 pot looks a little wierd. On this hand, I'd probably err on the side of caution & bet 30. There's no way a hand that one-pair beats raises that bet. A nut ball might bluff-raise or even value-raise AQ if you bet just 20. IMO.
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#7
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Re: Fold this AA?
River block is probably a good idea. I was so stuck on villain having QQ that I just checked without really considering that. What do you do with the river decision as played?
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#8
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Re: Fold this AA?
[ QUOTE ]
River block is probably a good idea. I was so stuck on villain having QQ that I just checked without really considering that. What do you do with the river decision as played? [/ QUOTE ] Fold. But, I think it's close and I tend to be conservative. Wonder if this is a call for Grunch. |
#9
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Re: Fold this AA?
He's got Q10. Call a river push if it's a 2 or a 3, fold this one.
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