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#1
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TPTK under pressure... river decision
Villain is 60/10 over 40 hands.
I know i played it awkwardly, but i was pretty sure i was value betting this river... who calls on the end? Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 max, 6 handed) converter CO ($48.05) Button ($36.98) SB ($128.54) BB ($42.17) UTG ($23.50) Hero ($77.30) Preflop: Hero is MP with J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $0.25. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2.5</font>, CO calls $2.50, Button calls $2.50, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>. Flop: ($8.25) J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $6</font>, CO folds, Button calls $6. Turn: ($20.25) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> Hero checks, Button checks. River: ($20.25) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $7</font>, Button calls $28.48 (All-In). Final Pot: $55.73 |
#2
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Re: TPTK under pressure... river decision
This is a really easy fold.
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#3
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Re: TPTK under pressure... river decision
it looks that way doesn't it, but what do you put villian on?
he seems to be representing a straight... which i find it nearly impossible for him to have. |
#4
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Re: TPTK under pressure... river decision
Villain's very loose and on the button...he could easily have an 8 couldn't he? Not to mention the variations of 2 pair and what not.
In the end, you MAY have the best hand, but I don't think its worth the risk. |
#5
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Re: TPTK under pressure... river decision
im not sure he has a str8, but i am pretty sure he has u beat. he could have a wierd 2 pair combination, a horribly played set, or any 8.
why do u think an 8 is so impossible for him to have? i see A8s, K8s, J8s, 98s, 88, 78s and a couple other wierd hands being highly possible here... |
#6
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Re: TPTK under pressure... river decision
[ QUOTE ]
it looks that way doesn't it, but what do you put villian on? he seems to be representing a straight... which i find it nearly impossible for him to have. [/ QUOTE ] how is it impossible? he holds 8x, bam, there's his straight. we already know he plays a lot of hands. bottom line is youve got one pair facing severe aggession. there are a lot of hands out there that beat you. |
#7
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Re: TPTK under pressure... river decision
unless the villain has made crazy river bluffs before i'd lay this down..
especially if he has a 60%VPIP and there's a 4straight on the board |
#8
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Re: TPTK under pressure... river decision
why is it impossible for him to have a straight here?
I think his worst hand range is JT or a set....his best includes something with an 8. I can see a straight checking behind on the turn. You raised preflop, so he knows you probably can't catch anything on the river that beats him and he figures if he bets his 8 on the turn you'll fold...he checks behind and he probably gets another bet out of you...then his zany overbet has you almost convinced to call. |
#9
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Results
Ok i see it is possible for him to have an 8, but unlikely to me unless its J8 or 89, calling my flop bet.
Also, i think 2 pair would not make this play on the river, fearing a straight. Same goes for a set. So the only hands i could deduce he had were a worse J or a bluff. I called and he showed Q7 and MHIG. P.S. I think he is folding most of the time if I make a real bet on the river and only made this play because i showed weakness. |
#10
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Re: Results
well nh - but it just seems we're beat in this situation more times than not.
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