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#1
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Runner\'s ugly NBA picks, week 3
Toronto +10 at Philly
Too many again. YTD 9-11 |
#2
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Re: Runner\'s ugly NBA picks, week 3
2 more:
Atlanta +16.5 Utah +10.5 Fading line moves that went too far the other way IMO. |
#3
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Re: Runner\'s ugly NBA picks, week 3
Ugly, ugly, ugly.
Start fading me. I really like this pick for Wednesday though: Mil +6 at Golden State YTD 9-14 [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img] |
#4
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Re: Runner\'s ugly NBA picks, week 3
I think your Mil pick is solid, and I expect them to get many more than 11 FT attempts this time. Hope you turn it around, Runner, you were doing quite well at the start of the season!
I'm no guru, but one thing I've noticed is that the big underdog teams where a horrible team is facing a great team don't seem to do well when on the great team's home court. Even getting double digit points, the dogs are too likely to get blown out. If you can get double digit points on the road for the fav and on the dog's home court, that's a different story, but it's very hard to get double digits there. I think your dogs are much better when it's a decent team getting a fair number of points against a little bit better decent team, such as the Mil pick tonight. Sure, they might still get blown out, but there's a much better chance of it being competitive, so it's a better pool to pick your spots from. |
#5
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Re: Runner\'s ugly NBA picks, week 3
I don't like Milwaukee traveling on back-to-back...look where that got Utah last night.
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#6
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Re: Runner\'s ugly NBA picks, week 3
Houston +8 at San Antonio for Thursday. This is a thin value bet, in a Texas shootout that shouldn't be a shootout at all.
YTD 10-14 |
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