|
#1
|
|||
|
|||
Some quick probability questions
I know pot odds aren't quite as important in No-limit as they are in limit (where they seem to be paramount - I'm playing mostly STTs and MTTs these days) but was wondering if I'm doing this math right....
1. Odds to hit gutshot straight after flop (4 "outs" - assuming you get 1 more card) - ~11.75-1 (so you need at least 10.75-1 pot odds to call) 2. Odds to hit open-ended straight after flop (8 "outs" - assuming you get 1 more card) - 5.87-1 (so you need at least 4.87-1 pot odds to call) 3. Odds to hit a flush with 4-flush on the flop (9 outs - 5.2-1 so need 4-1 pot odds) 4. Odds to hit a set on the flop with any 2 pair (2 outs - 23.5-1 - basically need it to check all around) My math ok here? With combination math how would these read assuming you go all-in after flop and get to see full board (or are calling a bet and using implied odds to justify). Thanks!! |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Some quick probability questions
These look like they're right, but you're confusing the meaning of odds.
[ QUOTE ] Odds to hit gutshot straight after flop (4 "outs" - assuming you get 1 more card) - ~11.75-1 (so you need at least 10.75-1 pot odds to call) [/ QUOTE ] Your odds of hitting the gutshot are 10.75 to 1, not 11.75 to 1. You'll hit it one time in 11.75 tries. That's an important distinction. |
#3
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Some quick probability questions
Ya as someone just pointed out
4:1 means 1 out of 5 or 20% thus 7:3 would mean 3 out of 10 or 30% |
Thread Tools | |
Display Modes | |
|
|