Steal the pot HU

Do you ever try to steal these kind of pots when OOP?


Party Poker 5.00/10.00 Hold'em <font color="#0000FF">(6 handed)</font> link

Preflop: Hero is BB with 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 folds</font>, CO calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Hero checks.

Flop: (2.40 SB) K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, CO checks.

Turn: (1.20 BB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero...

[setjes]

Sure, I also often bet those flops (against non-callingstations)

it depends on your read of the cutoff. plenty of 5/10 players are calling that turn bet with gutshot draws and small pairs, and i don't want to fire another barrel on the river.

[setjes]

I think if villain has anything on the flop he will bet it. If he calls the turn with a gutter I at least know he's an überdonk.
I'd like to hear more opinions about this, since it's a common situation but maybe not as easy as it seems.

[The Truth]

You need him to fold to your bet around 45% of the time. It can be a little less cause sometimes you'll hit a 6 or a 9 and it'll go check, check and you are good.

Does he fold that often?

Anybody got any data on it?

Run an sql query

blake

[Spicymoose]

I would rather steal when I had a higher non-pair. That way we at least have a backup, and if he calls the turn but checks behind the river, we have a shot at winning also. Granted this doesn´t happen all that often, but I think it adds enough to be a significant factor.

Bluffing the flop is also much cheaper, so needs to work less often.

from my expiriences the vilian would fold to that bet 80%, he limped preflop, with A or K he would probably raise (dont know his stats)

[MAxx]

I'd be more inclined to lead the flop.

[MrBig30]

[ QUOTE ]
Flop: (2.40 SB) K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, CO checks .

[/ QUOTE ]

Doesn't anybody else think this just screams he wants you to bluff at the turn? On the other hand he openlimped in the CO so maybe he is just bad. [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img] Without more of a read I am not sure but I think I would let him have this small pot.