Popping the river again too laggy?

[pokerkai]

30/60 Party

SB is a 40/10/1 while BB is a 20/8/1.5 both over a hundred'ish hands.

Hero is on the button holding K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]J [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

PREFLOP: folded around to hero, Hero raises, SB calls, BB 3bets, Hero calls, SB calls.

FLOP: Q [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]J [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]J [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]

SB checks, BB bets, Hero raises, SB calls, BB calls.

TURN: 8 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

SB bets, BB calls, Hero raises, SB 3bets, BB calls, Hero caps, SB calls, BB calls.

RIVER: 3 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

SB bets, BB calls, Hero raises...?

[DeeJ]

I'd say SB has T9 and BB has KK/AA.

[pokerkai]

sorry, the turn is a 7 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
my bad

[Nick Royale]

I wouldn't raise the river. SB's flop cc screams of a flopped monster or strong draw (and the only possible is T9). Given his relative position his turn bet screams of wanting to get raised and the 8 couldn't have helped him to improve to 2 pair or some other inferior holding. What we can hope for here is that he's holding a worse J, but will that J really bet the river after the turn cap? I don't think so. Besides what worse J's are SB calling preflop? Since he's loose maybe JT/J9 (QJ/J8 has us screwed anyway). The risk of being up against AJ/T9/QJ is way bigger IMO.

But I'm just a SSer, so feel free to ignore [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

[Nick Royale]

[ QUOTE ]
sorry, the turn is a 7 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
my bad

[/ QUOTE ]
Still I believe it's a call, but it definately makes it much closer...