PLO8, well I gave it to him eventually, anyway

[emptyshell]

Anybody fold the flop?

I'm thinking now that I should have called the raise and put pressure on him when a safe-looking turn card hits. That turn card was not safe looking. Or maybe it would be better to just call down, not that it would save me much money.

$600 PL Omaha Hi/Lo
UTG ( $600 ), UTG+1 ( $1480.70 ), OUT ( $0 ),
MP1 ( $197.90 ), Hero ( $975.10 ), SB ( $692.45 ),
MP2 ( $1203 ), CO ( $259 ), BB ( $575.10 ),
OUT ( $600 )

Hero is BUT with 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]

SB posts $3.
BB posts $6.
<font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, Hero calls $6, SB calls $3,
BB checks

<font color="blue">Flop</font>: (17.10) K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $17.10,
SB raises $45, BB folds, Hero raises $135,
SB raises $428.40, MP1: bluff,
Hero is all-In $817, SB: who gets lucky wins,
SB is all-In $213.05

<font color="blue">Turn</font>: (1670.55) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]


<font color="blue">River</font>: (1670.55) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]


Results in white below:
<font color="#FFFFFF">
SB shows Ac, 5s, 9c, Ks a full house, Kings full of aces.
Hero shows 3h, 8c, 3d, 2c a full house, Threes full of kings.

Hero wins $282.65 from side pot #1 with a full house, Threes full of ki
ngs.
SB wins $1387.90 from the main pot with a full house, Kings full of ace
s.
There was no qualifying low hand.

</font>

[gergery]

I'd have folded preflop.

once you hit, you are a slightly 55-45 favorite and got your money in. that's the scenario you want, but its high variance.

If you think it's likely he has AK once he raises the flop, you could call and jam a non-ace turn. That would probably be more EV positive than getting money in now i suppose. Since he will occasionally incorrectly fold, but he will do that pretty rarely.

--Greg

[Wintermute]

[ QUOTE ]
That turn card was not safe looking.

[/ QUOTE ]

What turn card looks safe to you?

You got your money in as a favorite, don't worry about the rest.

[emptyshell]

Well, perhaps. But if you make the assumption that he had to have either AK, K3, or KK to make that raise (which is a bit simplifying, I know), then there was 3/11 (~25%) chance that he already had me beat. If you couple that with my mere 55-45 advantage the other 75% of the time, a fold might be better. (My win pct: 55 * .75 + 0 * 0.25 = 41%, which is less than 50%)


Of course, there is some chance he's playing some other K, or AA, or just repeatedly misclicking, which might make the call worthwhile.