#1
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Bet into on the turn with marginal holding.
PokerStars 1/2 Hold'em (9 handed) converter
MP1 is a solid player. Over 229 hands I have him 19/5/2.55. WTSD=38%. My notes say "solid player postflop." His stats show me tight preflop. Likely around 15/8/2.2. So villain raises two early limpers, smooth calls the flop and bets into me on the turn... Preflop: Hero is MP3 with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, UTG calls, UTG+1 folds, MP1 calls. Flop: (11.50 SB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> UTG checks, MP1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, UTG folds, MP1 calls. Turn: (6.75 BB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">MP1 bets</font>... What do you put villain on here? |
#2
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Re: Bet into on the turn with marginal holding.
Tough to put him on a hand here. If the limpers are weak I suppose he could've flopped a double bellybuster w/ J9s, could have lots of K's, could have a straight/flush draw...
Folding this every time vs. an aggressive player would be weak and calling is 'meh'. Good spot to raise it up and check the river. |
#3
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Re: Bet into on the turn with marginal holding.
Weird action.
If he has AK, why didn't he raise the flop with that AF? I don't think 88's are a possibility. But how did the 8 helped him? But then again, he could be multiplaying or watching porn or something and quickly called the flop withouth paying attention. |
#4
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Re: Bet into on the turn with marginal holding.
With you having QQ, what raising/call 3-bet after two limpers hands don't include a king? AJ, 99, TT, maybe JJ. You are behind any king and TT. Would he really gaybet with AJ, 99, or JJ? You get 4-1 calling down, which I think is small enough to justify folding.
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#5
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Re: Bet into on the turn with marginal holding.
AT of hearts
and nothing else. [img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img] |
#6
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Re: Bet into on the turn with marginal holding.
I think you're ahead here reasonably often. I could see a hand like 99 betting this turn picking up an oesd. Other possibilities could be JJ or AJs (hearts).
I would raise and fold to a 3-bet, taking a free showdown on the river. Edit: Ooh, yeah AT [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] is another good possibility. |
#7
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Re: Bet into on the turn with marginal holding.
PokerStars 1/2 Hold'em (9 handed) converter
MP1 is a solid player. Over 229 hands I have him 19/5/2.55. WTSD=38%. My notes say "solid player postflop." His stats show me tight preflop. Likely around 15/8/2.2. So villain raises two early limpers, smooth calls the flop and bets into me on the turn... Preflop: Hero is MP3 with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, UTG calls, UTG+1 folds, MP1 calls. Flop: (11.50 SB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> UTG checks, MP1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, UTG folds, MP1 calls. Turn: (6.75 BB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">MP1 bets</font>...Hero raises, MP1 calls. River: A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. Check, check. Villain turns A [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]7 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. After posting this hand I immediately thought it was routine, but maybe it is a little back to basics! [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img] I was surprised to see A [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]7 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. Added to my notes to watch for isolation raises from this guy. Good reads, thanks. |
#8
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Re: Bet into on the turn with marginal holding.
man. i almost nailed it! do i get partial credit? i always biff the hand reads posts too... i like your turn raise. |
#9
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Re: Bet into on the turn with marginal holding.
NH - sucks when you have them pegged and get sucked out.
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#10
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Re: Bet into on the turn with marginal holding.
I put villain on a range of AA,KK,TT,AK and KQ. I think you are most likely beat and would fold.
Interestingly enough, if I had been villain, I would have preferred to check/call to showdown. Thats because I think that would have been the most likely way to extract the most bets from a hand he beat that might have 3-bet preflop like yours, such as QQ or JJ. |
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