#1
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Call the flush draw because of pot equity?
I'm playing 1/2NL at FTP. I get A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]8 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] in CO.
Sorry about the lack of a HH, its from FTP so it isn't supported by the converter. Loose table, so I deem them playable. Folds to UTG+2 he min raises and folds around to me. I call SB raises to 8. Looks a bit like a steal because I have seen him do it before. UTG+2 calls and I call. Flop: J [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] UTG+2 raises 1/2 pot. I figure that SB will call and if that last spade falls I'm going to take this one to the bank. SB raises the pot Now I'm just pissed. I was playing off of the fact that SB would call and I would get pot equity. Now I think that this guy has just flopped trips or some random 2pair and is protecting. UTG+2 calls. I figure him for AJ or over pair. I know I am still around 34% to win this hand barring a paired spade if SB actually has trips. I figure that I am paying 1/3 of the total pot to catch at 34% winner. If I am right I get to scoop up a ~$150-$200 or more. I call. Turn is a spade. SB bets pot, UTG+2 is all-in. I push all-in and SB calls. SB turns over JJ UTG+2 turns AA and I flip my A8 flush I wind up taking down a $230 pot when the river comes dead. ------------------------------------------- Was this some really lucky hand for me or did I make the right move and call the draw? I got called all sorts of names for that play so I just left with their money. |
#2
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Re: Call the flush draw because of pot equity?
you are a 34% winner if you see both turn and river.
considering you will probably call a sizable turn bet should the turn come a blank, your effective odds aren't nearly as good as you think. |
#3
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Re: Call the flush draw because of pot equity?
[ QUOTE ]
Was this some really lucky hand for me [/ QUOTE ] Yes. |
#4
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Re: Call the flush draw because of pot equity?
Fold preflop twice. JMO
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#5
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Re: Call the flush draw because of pot equity?
[ QUOTE ]
Now I'm just pissed. [/ QUOTE ] You should be as concerned about the fact that being pissed off may have influenced your decision as you are about the implied odds. All in all though, nice catch! |
#6
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Re: Call the flush draw because of pot equity?
nice catch
next time, stay and take all the money they'll throw at you |
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