Turn Decision with a twist

[tj00]

This is from a live 5/10 game. The casino has a high hand promotion for $200. The current high hand is aces full of jacks with 45 min to go. There is only one table going that is 6 or 7 handed. Main opponent is loose passive.

I have A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] in the CO

Two limpers and I raise, BB and Limpers call

Flop A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]

Checked to me I bet, only MP calls

Turn 9 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

MP Checks, Check or Bet

[dhaimon]

Bet? Only reason not to bet here would be to induce a bet from him on the river.

[etizzle]

the point is if he bets and they both fold he misses the chance at the 200 dollars for which he probably has 7 outs.

[Roland19]

Bet until you're fuckking fingers fall off. It's not even close.

[aK13]

Check, so you can give him a free card and infinite odds to outdraw you.

[tj00]

Is it clear that I have 7 outs to $200 which I do not get to draw to if he folds.

[aK13]

[ QUOTE ]
Is it clear that I have 7 outs to $200 which I do not get to draw to if he folds.

[/ QUOTE ]

[ QUOTE ]
Main opponent is loose passive.


[/ QUOTE ]

Also, B&M forum can probably do some calculations for you if you like.

[maxpowers21]

You have 7 outs to win a garenteed $200, if you get to a showdown.

there is roughly $50 in the pot.

Pros: you have 7 outs, which is about 15% chance of hitting of $200 is $30.43 equity if you see a river

Cons: you risk losing all $50 for the outs on which your opponet is drawing to. And you forgo a turn and river bet if you hit your hand = -$20 if pponet would have called.

The risk reward ratio is great here risk $50 to win $200

The loss of not bettign $10, is easily made up for by the equity of simply seing a river card = over $30
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EASY EASY check on the turn.

Unless you know hes gonna call a very very high percentage of the time, then fire away.

[droolie]

bumpingthatannoyingthreadoffthefrontpage....

[aslowjoe]

[ QUOTE ]
have 7 outs to win a garenteed $200, if you get to a showdown.

there is roughly $50 in the pot.

Pros: you have 7 outs, which is about 15% chance of hitting of $200 is $30.43 equity if you see a river

Cons: you risk losing all $50 for the outs on which your opponet is drawing to. And you forgo a turn and river bet if you hit your hand = -$20 if pponet would have called.

The risk reward ratio is great here risk $50 to win $200

The loss of not bettign $10, is easily made up for by the equity of simply seing a river card = over $30


[/ QUOTE ]
Also you are risking little by checking instead of betting. If you bet the only hand he might be folding that could beat you would be an inside str8 draw.