5/10 Party AK hand. Getting trapped with a straight?

[Jonny]

Villian is Rounder9999, who seems to be pretty solid. Stats are 29/17/2.75. I haven't seem him do anything stupid yet. Also, notes on him are that he likes to slowplay.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ Hero (6 max, 6 handed) converter

MP ($1228)
CO ($200)
Button ($1734)
SB ($950)
Hero ($1627)
UTG ($240)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. CO posts a blind of $10. SB posts a blind of $5.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises to $50</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, Hero calls $40.

Flop: ($115) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, MP checks.

Turn: ($115) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $75</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises to $200</font>, Hero calls $125.

River: ($515) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP bets $300</font>, Hero folds.

Looked like either JJ or QQ to me, more likely JJ for the flopped boat. At best I think I'll chop here. Mabye 40% of the time. 60% I think he has a boat.

Final Pot: $815

Comments?

[MVicuna]

Hi,

I maybe a bit slow, but prf of 17% even in 6max he's raising a LOT of hands. That means you can pretty well judge what a check on the flop means.

If he continuation bets only when he gets a piece of the flop you can be reasonably sure he got 78s here.

If he continuation bets 100% of the time, and checks monsters, well, why are you even putting money into this pot?

Thanks,
MarkV.

[9cao]

Would you have called the $300 if the 3rd diamond didn't hit? If not, then you might as well fold the turn because you know a 2/3 potsized bet is coming.