AA hand 15/30, facing cold raise on turn

Roswell · #1 05-18-2005, 08:34 AM

My notes on MP3 are "Tight, solid. Respect raises." On the turn, the UTG+1 player bet $20 allin and MP3 raised. I think I'm probably beat, but the pot is huge. My turn action?

Party Poker 15/30 Hold'em (9 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is CO with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
1 fold, UTG+1 raises, 2 folds, MP3 calls, Hero 3-bets, 3 folds, UTG+1 calls, MP3 calls.

Flop: (10.66 SB) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 players)
UTG+1 checks, MP3 checks, Hero bets, UTG+1 raises, MP3 calls, Hero 3-bets, UTG+1 caps, MP3 calls, Hero calls.

Turn: (11.33 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players)
UTG+1 bets $20 (All-In), MP3 raises, Hero...?

phifediggy · #2 05-18-2005, 09:24 AM

i would call down b/c i can't lay down aces, but the proper move would probably be to fold. chances are if mp3 doesnt have you beat, utg+1 does anyway

philnewall · #3 05-18-2005, 11:32 AM

folding would be horrible IMO.

koa · #4 05-18-2005, 11:55 AM

I think based on your read that he is tight, the only hand that he could have that you have beat is Ace King. So I guess it comes down to, would he call two bets cold on the flop with AK. I think all other possible hands have you beat.

hockey1 · #5 05-18-2005, 12:00 PM

You have 4 clean outs to the nuts plus a chance that the other 2 aces are outs, and a slight chance that your aces are good, so this is a turn call. Probably have to crying call the river too if you don't improve.

koa · #6 05-18-2005, 12:23 PM

although if you hit one of your 4 outs there is a good chance you will splitting the pot with someone whos has an ace

hockey1 · #7 05-18-2005, 12:32 PM

[ QUOTE ]
although if you hit one of your 4 outs there is a good chance you will splitting the pot with someone whos has an ace

[/ QUOTE ]

No, there really isn't, the way this hand has played out.

Roswell · #8 05-18-2005, 01:04 PM

[ QUOTE ]
a slight chance that your aces are good,

[/ QUOTE ]

I was fairly certain my aces were beat on the turn. I didn't think MP3 had AK because he would have 3-bet preflop.

RobbyD · #9 05-18-2005, 01:11 PM

Your facing a SET from somewhere. There is no question about that. If MP3 is a TAG as your note indicate. He probably has TT or JJ it is the only hand that would posibly make sence. I doubt he would call 2 bets could 2 times on the flop with AK. He might have a hand like KJs but that is probably a longshot. I think you are competing with 1 set maybe 2. I look forward to the results.

Roswell · #10 05-18-2005, 01:28 PM

I folded to the turn raise. I thought MP3 had two pair, AQ for a straight, or a set. I was sure I was beat, but I wasn't sure whether I had the odds to try and draw out on the river. So I erred on the side of caution.

On the river, the board paired the 7's, and MP3 won with KJs. The all-in player had 9T for a pair + gutshot. My aces up would have won.