Is 10% of first place too much for a no limit buy in?

[Mike111.]

Monthly no limit tournament with 60 - 80 people with a buy in at $150 that has 2 $20 rebuys in the first 1 1/2 hours of play where everybody that's still in gets an extra 1000 and 2500 in chips.

1st place gets $2k. Should I expect to get into the money every time or finish 2nd every five times to expect a positive return?

Most of the players are loose-passive. Once they're on a draw, they'll call to the turn (at least) with any pair/draw.

Here's the payouts...
1st = 2000
2nd = 1000
3rd = 500
4 - 10 = 200

Thanks for the help.