11R turbo sat. - preflop play

[blockafor]

I was playing the Stars 11R turbo sat. to Sunday 215. There's about 35 left. Top 20 make it. Blinds are 600/1200 with antes (elevating every 5 min.). I'm 10th in chips with 15000. UTG goes all-in PF for 7500. UTG+1 folds. I'm UTG+2 w/ATo. I have no reads - this is the 5th table I've been at this tournament and we're hardly an hour in. What would you do?

[jetaudio77]

I'd probably just fold. You could be easily dominated and there are way to many players ahead of you yet to act.

[M.B.E.]

This is an easy fold. Your stack is big enough that you don't need to take risks at this point in the satellite. I wouldn't even call there with AKs.

[billyjex]

[ QUOTE ]
This is an easy fold. Your stack is big enough that you don't need to take risks at this point in the satellite. I wouldn't even call there with AKs.

[/ QUOTE ]

Unless someone shoots me in the head before I can click call, i'm in here w/ AKs. We're not in the money yet.

But yeah, ATo=easy fold.

[hurlyburly]

Fold. You've got your seat if you fold everything. This is a turbo, so unless you drop below 15th-20th, you should let the blinds do the work. If you call and lose you might still make it, but you're risking transferring your easy ride to him.

[sloth469]

This isn't necesarily true in the turbo sats, but you can certainly pick a better spot. I'd rather be first into the pot in LP with 37o then call w/ AT here.

[M.B.E.]

If you fold now I'd estimate you have a 75% chance of winning a seat. If you call and increase your stack by 9500 chips or whatever, that might increase to 90% or so. But if you call and lose, you wll be shortstacked and at most you'd have a 40% chance of winning a seat.

Using those figures, you need to fold unless you figure your pot equity against the pusher's range of hands is greater than 70%. Hence AKs is a clear fold. I'd reraise with AA/KK/QQ and fold everything else.

[M.B.E.]

[ QUOTE ]
Using those figures, you need to fold unless you figure your pot equity against the pusher's range of hands is greater than 70%.

[/ QUOTE ]
Actually that's not quite correct, what I really meant is that your ratio of wins to losses against the pusher's range of hands should be greater than 70:30. Ties can be disregarded from the equation, because in a satellite situation a chop is much better than half a win.