The truth behind win rates... (LC)

[krishanleong]

I'm pretty sure I don't know what it is. But I want to share some stats with you just to prove how wild variance can be.

Over my first 12797 hand I ran at a 4.14 BB/100 pace with standard deviation of 16.3 Bb/100. This gives me a 95% confidence interval of 1.31 - 6.96 BB/100. Not too shabby.

Over my last 9046 hands I am running at a (3.02) BB/100 pace with standard deviation of 16 BB/100. This give me a 95% confidence interval of -6.3 to .27 BB/100. Not too promising.

So which is the real me? I have no idea. I'll let you know if 50K hands.

Krishan

[Scotch78]

My money is on 1 BB/100 with a SD of 16 BB/100.

Scott