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Old 12-30-2004, 08:25 AM
MicroBob MicroBob is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: memphis
Posts: 1,245
Default Bowl games 12/30

Tempted to take T-Tech +11.
Cal playing in Holiday Bowl is a let-down and they really did look pretty lousy at Southern Miss.
Can Red Raiders keep it close??
4 of Cal's 5 wins before the USM game were blow-outs against mostly crappy opposition:
at AZ 38-0, vs ASU 27-0, at WASH 42-12, vs Stan 41-6.
The scores look impressive....but ASU was the only decent opponent in there and I'm honestly not convinced they were THAT decent. AZ and WASH are just awful....and Stanford is just a rung or two above awful.

Am I the only one who thinks the PAC-10 is overrated?
UCLA is unspectacular and lost to freaking Wyoming.
Oregon St looked against Notre Dame though (if that means anything).

Insight appreciated on this one.


I already have NIU +2 vs. Troy.
Although the more I look at Troy the less confident I am in this bet.
I'm already a whopping 1-3 picking the MAC bowl games.
won with UC over Marshall.
Lost with BG over Memphis, Iowa St over Miami and UConn over Toledo.



NM finished the season 5-0....but they were all fairly close and pretty low scoring games so giving Navy 3 points might have value.
Both teams like to run the ball quite a bit so I certainly don't see a blow-out in this one either way.
NM defense ranks 8th nationally against the run...and Navy is the 3rd most productive rushing team (using the option).
I had to look up the fact that the Emerald Bowl is in SF.

I'm strongly leaning towards Navy +3 on this one.



NC at 6-5 didn't impress me a whole lot but all 5 of their losses were to decent bowl teams (Louisville, FSU, Utah, Va-Tech, Virginia).
BC won 4 straight before getting blown out by Syracuse (who just fired their coach).
They had a 1 point win over ND, beat rutgers and a mediocre WV team and beat up on a lousy Temple squad.

I might be tempted to take NC just for the home-field advantage here as well as their stronger schedule...but I don't really have a very good handle on this game.
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