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  #1  
Old 12-30-2004, 09:50 AM
Schizo Schizo is offline
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Location: SSH, Theory, TH forums only.
Posts: 744
Default 99 flop is J63

Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (7 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is SB with 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. MP2 posts a blind of $2.
UTG folds, MP1 calls, MP2 (poster) checks, CO folds, Button folds, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, BB calls, MP1 calls, MP2 calls.

Flop: (8 SB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, BB folds, MP1 calls, MP2 folds.

Turn: (5 BB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, MP1 calls.

River: (7 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 bets</font>, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 9 BB

Villians VP$IP is 77.78
Aggression is PF=.2,F=.8,T=1,R=7
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  #2  
Old 12-30-2004, 10:01 AM
Nick C Nick C is offline
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Default Re: 99 flop is J63

Out-of-position rivers like this one are difficult for me. But anyway, since MP1's river aggression is so high, I'm thinking check-calling the river is the way to go.
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  #3  
Old 12-30-2004, 12:26 PM
StellarWind StellarWind is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 704
Default Re: 99 flop is J63

This can't be bad. I think I'd be afraid to fold the river against this player if I got myself raised. Even if folding to a raise is correct there will be a significant EV drain due to the times you get bluffed.

Many weak players will look at the jack and figure you lost your nerve with AA, AQ, or whatever. That's how they play. The result can be that they check their queens but bluff their total busts.
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  #4  
Old 12-30-2004, 12:44 PM
gaming_mouse gaming_mouse is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: my hero is sfer
Posts: 2,480
Default Re: 99 flop is J63

I say you did the right thing, even ignoring his aggression. What worse hands are calling your bet? A pair of sixes? I think the chance of that is well under 50%.

On the other hand, there are lots of losing hands that your check will induce to bluff.

gm
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