Am i winning once in twelve times here??

Apocalypse · #1 10-28-2004, 12:12 PM

Lately i've tried to adapt myself more specifically to the typical players that can be categorized in every specific limit. In this case to the $5/$10 players at stars. Here is my experience that they become pretty straightforward after they hit their gutshot when it is multi-handed. Nothing wrong with that, although it has occured to me they just don't ever 'mix it up', so i can valuebet every "checked-to" third flushcard hitting the river, every gutshot hitting the turn etc etc. The other way around i've concluded i can fold big hands in big pots (something unthinkable on any limit below or upward from 5/10) Here's an example :

PokerStars 5/10 Hold'em (5 handed)

Preflop: Hero is MP with Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
UTG calls, Hero calls, Button calls, SB folds, BB raises, UTG calls, Hero calls, Button calls.

Flop: (8.40 SB) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (4 players)
BB bets, UTG calls, Hero raises, Button folds, BB calls, UTG calls.

Turn: (7.20 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 players)
BB bets, UTG calls, Hero calls.

River: (10.20 BB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players)
BB bets, UTG calls, Hero folds.

Final Pot: 12.20 BB

This is the type of sized pot where i've learned i cannot fold two pair anymore. Well i just dunnit, and it felt pretty damn good. The other guy of course flips over AK, but thats beside the point and totally irrelevant.

Come to think of it , i don't know why i even posted this hand, but since i typed this much i just as well press post. And yes of course i know i can't do this that much a session (perhaps just once or twice) without this play becoming -EV as people catch up on this, but in general i think its -EV to call here at this specific limit against these typical players on this potsize.