And they are off

JDErickson · #1 08-31-2004, 09:03 AM

Opponent stats 33/3.

Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (8 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
1 fold, Hero raises, 1 fold, MP2 calls, 1 fold, Button calls, SB 3-bets, 1 fold, Hero caps, MP2 calls, Button calls, SB calls.

Flop: (17 SB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (4 players)
SB bets, Hero raises, MP2 calls, Button folds, SB 3-bets, Hero caps, MP2 calls, SB calls.

Turn: (14.50 BB) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players)
SB bets, Hero raises, MP2 folds, SB 3-bets, Hero calls.

River: (20.50 BB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
SB bets, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 22.50 BB
Main Pot: 22.50 BB, between SB and Hero.

Comments?

Eihli · #2 08-31-2004, 09:10 AM

I'd have just called the turn on people I don't have a read on. I think you should especially call the turn on someone with only a 3% pfr but puts money in 33% of the time, sounds like they are pretty passive. Then again, raising would make MP2 fold and he might have outs against you, combine that with the times you are ahead against the SB and you might have +EV raising the turn. So, in conclusion, I have not concluded.

Lost Wages · #3 08-31-2004, 09:39 AM

Players with a PFR of only 3% won't usually reraise 3 opponents with Q's from the SB. More likely they will just call and see the flop. J's or AK are even less likely.

After you cap the flop and he leads the turn, it's time to go to calldown mode. He's a passive player and you have made it clear that you have a big pair yet he doesn't seem concerned.

Lost Wages

MAxx · #4 08-31-2004, 09:47 AM

excellent analysis