NBA Totals Breakdown.. 2/4/2005

[20Five]

Games that are on the table for possible breakdowns tonight..


Atl @ Phil
Orl @ Bos
Wash @ Tor
Hou @ Minn

[20Five]

Atl @ Phil

The Play:
Under 198

The Reason:

Atl 28th ranked offense in league, Philys defense is poor but should be able to keep Atl Under 90 pts.

Atl Struggling both with 3FG% and FT%, two things that usually exposes Philys D.

Phily Hasnt Scored Over 100 since 1/26.. I imagine vs a weak Atl Defense rested at home they will put up around 95-100.

Also helping this play is Phily should be able to pull away from Atl.. not much chance of OT, or late game free throws to offset a fairly low scoring affair.

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Hou @ Minn
No Play

The Reason
Minn been playing good defense at home.. last 6 games in Minn UNDER.

Cassel is questionable with a shoulder injury.

Houston is on 4th leg of a road trip..

Original lean to bet over doesnt seem to hold up well.. this total is a pass.

Line is 8 pts higher then last time these teams met and they went Over.

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Orl @ Bos
The Play
Under 207.5

The Reason
Orl 9-14 Unders on Road this year.

Both teams should be well rested.. favors legs on defense, and perhaps some lag coming in on Orl who hasnt played since 2/1.

Addition of Christie has strengthed D of Orl.

Orl O/U is 3-9 when a dog less then 5.

Total has slowly fallen all day.

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Wash @ Tor
The Play
Under 209

The Reason
Two big shootouts in last matchups vs each other have juiced this total up..

Tor is 7-11 O/U in games with totals +200
Wash is 17/18 in night games, Tor is 15/21 in night games O/U.

Both teams come in fairly well rested, favoring D.

[20Five]

Good Luck To Everyone Tonight.. [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]

[20Five]

Final Totals Breakdown Card for 2/4/2005

Atl @ Phil U198
Wash @ Tor U209
Orl @ Bos U207.5

[CCx]

good posts, welcome to the forum, and good luck to you!

[20Five]

Atl @ Phily
U198
Final 85:103 188 <font color="green">WIN</font>

Orl @ Bos
U207.5
Final 100:112 212 <font color="red">LOSS</font>

Wash @ Tor
U209
Final 100:103 203 <font color="green">WIN</font>


2-1 on the night, looking at the finals.. Atl and Phily came out almost exactly as I predicted (100 to mid 80s).. Boston/Orlando starting off with a 67 pt 1st quarter wasnt to be expected. Toronto and Wash also came out about near where it should have (won this because the line pumped too much from previous meetings)

Hope everyone had a winning night! Comments/Suggestions always welcome

Good Luck [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

I wish that BOS/ORL 1Q was only 67 -- we would have been winners -- it was 77! I think that's the 2nd highest I've seen this season. PHX had one in the 80s, I think against DAL.