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  #1  
Old 10-04-2005, 04:31 PM
meleader2 meleader2 is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Women are truly -EV
Posts: 320
Default weak-tight at heart bolster post

villain's stats 23/3 .85 pfa after 176 hands...


is at seat 0 with $4.25.
villain is at seat 1 with $22.55.
hero is at seat 2 with $49.05.
is at seat 3 with $12.80.
is at seat 4 with $5.90.
is at seat 5 with $25.
is at seat 6 with $16.60.
is at seat 7 with $8.85.
is at seat 8 with $13.50.
is at seat 9 with $15.90.
The button is at seat 7.

posts the small blind of $.10.
posts the big blind of $.25.
posts out of turn for $.25.

hero: K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

Pre-flop:

folds. UTG(villain) raises to $1.10. hero
re-raises to $3.90. folds. folds.
folds. folds.
folds. folds. folds. villain instantaneously
goes all-in for $22.55. hero folds, showing K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
villain is returned $18.65 (uncalled).
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  #2  
Old 10-04-2005, 04:49 PM
gol4pro gol4pro is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 109
Default Re: weak-tight at heart bolster post

double post...
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  #3  
Old 10-04-2005, 04:50 PM
gol4pro gol4pro is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 109
Default Re: weak-tight at heart bolster post

Showing that fold is the worst thing I've ever seen in my life. Prepare to be run over.

That said, close, but maybe good fold.
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  #4  
Old 10-04-2005, 04:51 PM
The_Bends The_Bends is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 287
Default Re: weak-tight at heart bolster post

Good fold, but don't show it for christ's sake.
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  #5  
Old 10-04-2005, 05:02 PM
Godfather80 Godfather80 is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 9
Default Re: weak-tight at heart bolster post

[ QUOTE ]
villain's stats 23/3 .85 pfa after 176 hands...


is at seat 0 with $4.25.
villain is at seat 1 with $22.55.
hero is at seat 2 with $49.05.
is at seat 3 with $12.80.
is at seat 4 with $5.90.
is at seat 5 with $25.
is at seat 6 with $16.60.
is at seat 7 with $8.85.
is at seat 8 with $13.50.
is at seat 9 with $15.90.
The button is at seat 7.

posts the small blind of $.10.
posts the big blind of $.25.
posts out of turn for $.25.

hero: K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

Pre-flop:

folds. UTG(villain) raises to $1.10. hero
re-raises to $3.90. folds. folds.
folds. folds.
folds. folds. folds. villain instantaneously
goes all-in for $22.55. hero folds, showing K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
villain is returned $18.65 (uncalled).

[/ QUOTE ]

This doesn't look great to me. Villain reraised you another $17.55 all-in. The pot was $23.15. You are getting 1.32:1 on your money. So, you need to win 1 out of every 2.32 times or just over 43% of the time.

Against this type of Villain, I'd say the hand range here is: AA, QQ, AK.
Let's say he has AA=50%, QQ=25%, and AK=25% of the time.
Against AA, you win 19% of the time.
Against QQ, you win 81% of the time.
Against AK, you win ~67% of the time.

Against this hand range, you average winning ~46.5% of the time.

Maybe you're surer than me that he must have AA. It's a tough fold, I think.
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  #6  
Old 10-04-2005, 05:24 PM
noggindoc noggindoc is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 42
Default Re: weak-tight at heart bolster post

yeah, showing it lets everyone know that you think it is heroic to make the big laydown...this was 25NL? for god's sake call
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  #7  
Old 10-04-2005, 05:27 PM
yvesaint yvesaint is offline
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Join Date: May 2005
Location: sittin on my 6xbuy-in stack
Posts: 690
Default Re: weak-tight at heart bolster post

yo, call
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