#1
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AA - value raise on river
Villian is LAG, 55/17/1.7 over 100 hands, with a river AF of 3.
Party Poker 5.00/10.00 Hold'em <font color="#0000FF">(10 handed)</font> link Preflop: Hero is SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP3 raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 folds</font>, Button calls, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, <font color="#666666">1 folds</font>, MP3 calls, Button calls. Flop: (10.00 SB) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, MP3 folds, Button calls. Turn: (6.00 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, Button calls. River: (8.00 BB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font> |
#2
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Re: AA - value raise on river
Hah I think I like it.
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#3
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Re: AA - value raise on river
I like it. A 1.7 AF is huge for a guy with 55%VPIP. Over 3 on the river...wow! I'm trying to get to that. The only downside I see is him having 76 suited, 65 suited, or TT. My guess is he has 77,88,99,JJ, or QQ.
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#4
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Re: AA - value raise on river
Meh. 3 betting here is spewing.
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#5
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Re: AA - value raise on river
Why? What range of hands do you put villian on?
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#6
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Re: AA - value raise on river
He's on 6s or better. Either it was a suited connector, or just a connector he played preflop, maybe a little pair that hit a set on the flop. With a 55% VPIP, he's certainly playing a wide range of hands. I doubt seriously that he's anywhere between 7s and Ts. That leaves JJ, QQ, KK, AA. Since he cold-called the preflop bet, that suggests a baby pair or some sort of suited/connected combinaton.
Here, I probably would have check-called when the 6 rivered. You're definitely right to call a 9:1 bet with his range of hands. Capping on the river, which is probably what's going to happen, does sound a lot like spewing. |
#7
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Re: AA - value raise on river
[ QUOTE ]
Why? What range of hands do you put villian on? [/ QUOTE ] A range that is wide enough where a lot of his hands include a 6. |
#8
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Re: AA - value raise on river
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Why? What range of hands do you put villian on? [/ QUOTE ] A range that is wide enough where a lot of his hands include a 6. [/ QUOTE ] But it is NOT exclusive to those hands that include a 6. I'm talking about those hands which he may raise here that I beat, and that will call a 3-bet. Given that his AF is 3 on the river, he could be raising with a T or 77-99 being the most likely. He could also do this with a 4 or 2, KK-JJ, and in some cases, maybe even as a bluff-raise with an A hi, K hi, or busted draw. With all of the above mentioned hands, he will likely call a 3-bet (even with A hi, maybe not K hi tho, and most likely not with a busted draw). |
#9
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Re: AA - value raise on river
[ QUOTE ]
Here, I probably would have check-called when the 6 rivered. [/ QUOTE ] Now, you're just being results-oriented. There is no reason for me to think that my hand is not good on the river when I'm first to act. |
#10
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Re: AA - value raise on river
[ QUOTE ]
Given that his AF is 3 on the river, he could be raising with a T or 77-99 being the most likely. He could also do this with a 4 or 2, KK-JJ, and in some cases, maybe even as a bluff-raise with an A hi, K hi, or busted draw. [/ QUOTE ] Do you look up his river AF during the hand? Or does something actually plug that into the hud? With a high river aggression, what makes you think he'll call with worse hands? Raising and folding is what drives it up, so while there may be a few hands that will call your 3 bet you're definitely not folding to a cap here, so it could be a very expensive play. |
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