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View Poll Results: How will they do in the post season? | |||
NBA champions | 1 | 6.67% | |
Out in the conference semis | 5 | 33.33% | |
Out in the conference finals | 7 | 46.67% | |
Out in the finals | 1 | 6.67% | |
Out in the first round | 1 | 6.67% | |
Miss the playoffs | 0 | 0% | |
Voters: 15. You may not vote on this poll |
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#1
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A6o on the Bubble - push or fold?
Looking for leaks. Too often, I am making the wrong decision in spots like this.
Should I now be playing only to get itm? or is the higher $EV move to go for it? ***** Hand History for Game 3057777284 ***** 400/800 Game Table (NL) (Tournament 17531051) - Fri Nov 18 22:51:17 EST 2005 Table Table 68187 (Real Money) -- Seat 1 is the button Total number of players : 4 Seat 1: TallThinMan (1577) Seat 8: pagaille (6115) Seat 9: z32fanatic4 (1444) Seat 10: DEADDUCKYY (864) pagaille posts small blind (200) z32fanatic4 posts big blind (400) ** Dealing down cards ** Dealt to TallThinMan [ Ad, 6s ] DEADDUCKYY folds. TallThinMan ? |
#2
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Re: A6o on the Bubble - push or fold?
I let this go since BB is about to hit the 2xBB stack. And pushing into such a big stack with weak aces make me uncomfortable. You are in much less urgency than the other two smaller stacks here.
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#3
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Re: A6o on the Bubble - push or fold?
I think this is a clear push. Although not as bad as the others, your stack is hurting pretty bad too. The short guy doubles up and you're in trouble.
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#4
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Re: A6o on the Bubble - push or fold?
It's a fold. Take AT instead and it would be a tough decision in which a read on bigstack would help a lot.
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#5
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Re: A6o on the Bubble - push or fold?
If you put SNGPT on the maniac range for both SB and BB, it's a marginal push. Maniac is 22+,A2s+,A3o+,KTs+,KJo+,QJs. Personally, I think both their ranges are going to be tighter than that. So I push this unless I've read them to be wild.
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#6
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Re: A6o on the Bubble - push or fold?
SNGPT doesn't take following hands into account. And what happens the next hand is very relevant to our hero.
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#7
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Re: A6o on the Bubble - push or fold?
Even so. You're in lots of trouble if everyone sticks around for one more orbit. And that's completely possible. Stealing the blinds here adds a HUGE chunk to your stack. If anything, you probably have more fold equity because of shortie.
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#8
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Re: A6o on the Bubble - push or fold?
[ QUOTE ]
If you put SNGPT on the maniac range for both SB and BB, it's a marginal push. Maniac is 22+,A2s+,A3o+,KTs+,KJo+,QJs. Personally, I think both their ranges are going to be tighter than that. So I push this unless I've read them to be wild. [/ QUOTE ] I think SB might be looser than this (because of his bigstack). For BB I think this range is about right. Freudian said the next hand is important, this is true, however you can make it part of your SNGPT calculation. |
#9
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Re: A6o on the Bubble - push or fold?
[ QUOTE ]
I think SB might be looser than this (because of his bigstack). For BB I think this range is about right. [/ QUOTE ] You really think the big stack is calling hands worse than that range? Like what? K9, JT? I can't see him calling with hands like that. My stack is big enough to do some significant damage to his lead. |
#10
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Re: A6o on the Bubble - push or fold?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I think SB might be looser than this (because of his bigstack). For BB I think this range is about right. [/ QUOTE ] You really think the big stack is calling hands worse than that range? Like what? K9, JT? I can't see him calling with hands like that. My stack is big enough to do some significant damage to his lead. [/ QUOTE ] I'm not sure but I feel I see it pretty often. He would pay 1377 to win 2177 - these are decent odds for K8o, 87s, Q5s etc. Also, some bigstacks like play table sherif. |
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