#1
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Flopped set, small pot, scary turn/river
Very little read on UTG, but in <30 hands appears to be LP-P. How do you play the turn & river?
Party Poker 1/2 Hold'em (10 handed) converter Preflop: Hero is CO with 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. UTG calls, <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, Hero calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB completes, BB checks. Flop: (4 SB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font> SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">BB bets</font>, UTG calls, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, SB calls, BB folds, UTG calls. Turn: (5.50 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> SB checks, UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, SB folds, UTG calls. River: (7.50 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> UTG checks, Hero...? Final Pot: 7.50 BB |
#2
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Re: Flopped set, small pot, scary turn/river
uh bets
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#3
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Re: Flopped set, small pot, scary turn/river
The Turn is a no brainer bet for sure.
The river is interesting. You have to figure out how often he is going to call you with a worse hand. Villian has been passive the whole way through the hand, so he could have anything. The question is, does he have a T? More reads in this situation would be very helpful. Have you ever seen him checkraise? Does he only bet or raise with the nuts? Does he always call on the end to keep you honest? Hard to know after only 30 hands. Does betting here have +EV? I'm not sure. This has me puzzled. Help from soemone who can solve this would be appreciated. |
#4
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Re: Flopped set, small pot, scary turn/river
Thanks, adsman, those are exactly the kinds of questions I was trying to figure out.
Absent any sort of useful read (other than "trending LP-P"), it seems to me that a bet on the river is +EV, but a further question is whether I lay it down to a check-raise. I'd be interested in hearing any other thoughts on the matter. |
#5
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Re: Flopped set, small pot, scary turn/river
Hero bets, and calls a check-raise, getting 9.5 to 1.
Lots of worse hands will pay you off here. Qx and 9x will probably pay you off, and Kx will almost certainly pay you off. If he turned the flush he would have probably check-raised the turn. What makes you think he has a 10? |
#6
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Re: Flopped set, small pot, scary turn/river
[ QUOTE ]
Hero bets, and calls a check-raise, getting 9.5 to 1. [/ QUOTE ] |
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