Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Gambling > Probability
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 07-24-2003, 09:33 PM
Smackdab Smackdab is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Illinois
Posts: 342
Default Neteller Giveaway EV Question

Have accumulated just over 200k in Neteller points. Was considering entering some of the cash drawings. Was hoping someone here could tell me which one has the best EV.

Weekly - $100 prize
200 entries out of 6008

Bi- Weekly - $250 prize
80 entries out of 3229

Monthly - $2500 prize
20 entries out of 23294

TIA for your assistance
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 07-24-2003, 10:48 PM
LondonBroil LondonBroil is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2003
Posts: 576
Default Re: Neteller Giveaway EV Question

And I thought I had a lot with 50k.

I figured this out earlier and I'm pretty sure the Bi-Weekly one has the highest EV by far. What I did was divide the number of chances by the total number of entries, then multiply that by the prize amount.

Weekly = (200/6008)*100 = 3.329
Bi-Weekly = (80/3229)*250 = 6.194
Monthly = (20/23294)*2500 = 2.146

What's odd is that I thought I did this a long time ago and the monthly one had the best EV. I guess maybe people wised up. I'm pretty sure my thinking is correct but it's hard for me to explain. It takes in the chance you have of winning times the prize pool. It's kinda like asking if you'd rather have a 1 in 10 chance of winning $5 or a 1 in 50 chance of winning $100.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 07-25-2003, 12:27 AM
Smackdab Smackdab is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Illinois
Posts: 342
Default Re: Neteller Giveaway EV Question

Thanks for your answer LB. I haven't checked into the drawing thing for quite awhile. Seems like the number of entries to the monthly has risen significantly since I last checked. Not sure if I will enter just yet but thanks for doing the math for me.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 08:11 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.