Fold After Spiking An Ace

#1 11-17-2005, 05:23 PM

Villain is 41/13/1.2 after 400 hands.
I'm not sure if this was a good fold, but he really hasn't gotten out of line (that I've seen).

Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (6 max, 6 handed) pokerhand.org hand converter

Preflop: Hero is MP with 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
1 fold, Hero raises, 1 fold, Button 3-bets, 2 folds, Hero calls.

Flop: (7.40 SB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks.

Turn: (3.70 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets, Hero folds.

Final Pot: 4.70 BB

DMBFan23 · #2 11-17-2005, 05:25 PM

if you tilt like I do then you can type 'lol' into the chat box first so they know their stupid FPS didnt work

TomBrooks · #3 11-17-2005, 05:37 PM

Would a 13% pfr 3bet 77+ or TT+ or JJ+?

How about the AXo range? Does he 3bet as low as ATo?

How much does a players pfr% corrolate with their 3betting range? Can it vary alot?

I like to make a note of what a player 3bets with whenever I see one, but I haven't been at it long enough to draw any general conclusions.

#4 11-17-2005, 05:52 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Would a 13% pfr 3bet 77+ or TT+ or JJ+?

[/ QUOTE ]
Sure, but the real question is which of those hands would he check the flop with?

[ QUOTE ]
How about the AXo range? Does he 3bet as low as ATo?

[/ QUOTE ]
Probably not.

#5 11-17-2005, 06:14 PM

In this scenario, once he checks the flop behind you, he is favored to have either three kings or pocket aces.

You are most likely getting 11.5:4, or just under 3 to 1 pot odds to get to the showdown. So...does he have more than a 75% chance of having a monster? I think it's close, if only because there's always an "irrationality floor" of like 5%-15% where people (especially looser players) make a weird play for no logical reason or to get tricky. But I think folding is probably ok here.

-v