Cause for Alarm - 75/150 Level

[housenuts]

Ok, I'm a little worried here.

Over 150 Turbo SNGs at Stars (16s & 27s) I show a profit at every blind level except 75/150.

I know it's a small sample size, but it's something I'd like to get a handle on early. It's not a small amount either. I'm losing 0.10BB/hand which is more the -2x as much as I make at any other level. I don't even know where to begin looking.

Any suggestions?

[SCfuji]

raise/folding pf
pushing all-in when you could be waiting

I'm no statistician, but I would think it's just an anomaly.

Let's just say (for the purpose of argument) that you reach this blind level 70% of the time. And lets say (again just a guesstimate) that you play 8 hands in this blind level. Over 150 SnGs.

This gives you 840 hands played. If you went to one of the cash game forums and asked for help on 840 hands, they'd simply tell you your sample size is too small.

I'd just keep playing, and if it showed no signs of improvement then you might have a problem.

[Exitonly]

yae, exactly what Fenef said... none of your blind level profits mean much if anything at this point.

[Cactus Jack]

[ QUOTE ]
raise/folding pf
pushing all-in when you could be waiting

[/ QUOTE ]

Bingo. You're playing Party-style on a non-Party site. Adjust your game.

CJ

[housenuts]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
raise/folding pf
pushing all-in when you could be waiting

[/ QUOTE ]

Bingo. You're playing Party-style on a non-Party site. Adjust your game.

CJ

[/ QUOTE ]

i'm not playing party-style because i have never played sng's on party. i've always played at stars. maybe i am playing party style and just don't know it

I think the sample size is too small to draw general conclusions. But, not too small to prevent you from looking over the hands from this level to see if you can spot something.

[pooh74]

[ QUOTE ]
Ok, I'm a little worried here.

Over 150 Turbo SNGs at Stars (16s & 27s) I show a profit at every blind level except 75/150.

I know it's a small sample size, but it's something I'd like to get a handle on early. It's not a small amount either. I'm losing 0.10BB/hand which is more the -2x as much as I make at any other level. I don't even know where to begin looking.

Any suggestions?

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree with the sample crowd...but if things dont improve over time and you are playing the same way, then I would think that you are beginning your pushbot technique too early...waiting for that extra t75 -t200 (when the antes start) is key. at 150 blinds and I have AQs and am on the button with 1370, easy push...change my hand to K7 and CO...I would fold because I can wait still.

Would you push that on party??

[pooh74]

[ QUOTE ]
Would you push that on party??

[/ QUOTE ]

Push what? Also, # of players, stacks, etc...is important to note. IOW I shouldnt be making blanket statements like that. On party, 1370 will typically be a higher stack.