itm call

DMACM · #1 09-01-2005, 03:25 AM

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (3 handed) converter

Hero (t1050)
Button (t3875)
SB (t3075)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].

fold, sb push, hero?

DMACM · #2 09-01-2005, 01:44 PM

bump

#3 09-01-2005, 01:54 PM

[img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] call I think, but I'm not happy about it.

nyc999 · #4 09-01-2005, 01:57 PM

Read-dependent.

With no reads, I think I fold and hope I get something in the next few hands.

I haven't run any numbers to determine whether its - or +EV, but you're a 70/30 dog to virtually any PP, behind any Ax, and ahead 55/45 to 60/40 on any other two.

#5 09-01-2005, 01:58 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Read-dependent.

With no reads, I think I fold and hope I get something in the next few hands.

I haven't run any numbers to determine whether its - or +EV, but you're a 70/30 dog to virtually any PP, behind any Ax, and ahead 55/45 to 60/40 on any other two.

[/ QUOTE ]

I ran the numbers... he's 55/45 against a random hand, about 50/50 against top 50% and 45/55 against top 30%. Few villains are on a tighter range than that here, so I think this is a call.

AliasMrJones · #6 09-01-2005, 02:34 PM

This is hard with no background. Has he been pushing regularly (as he should be?) Has he usually be raising rather than pushing? I think this is a call unless he's been tight.

DMACM · #7 09-01-2005, 02:36 PM

we just got off the bubble this was like the first lap around itm so i would expect him to be looser? he was fairly average on the bubble.

schwza · #8 09-01-2005, 04:01 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Read-dependent.

With no reads, I think I fold and hope I get something in the next few hands.

I haven't run any numbers to determine whether its - or +EV, but you're a 70/30 dog to virtually any PP, behind any Ax, and ahead 55/45 to 60/40 on any other two.

[/ QUOTE ]

I ran the numbers... he's 55/45 against a random hand, about 50/50 against top 50% and 45/55 against top 30%. Few villains are on a tighter range than that here, so I think this is a call.

[/ QUOTE ]

my instinct was call - sounds right.

fnord_too · #9 09-01-2005, 04:03 PM

Depends on the opponent. You are only getting 3:2 on the call, and have 4BB left if you fold. Just enough chips to make this a really debatable spot IMO.

brimstone1 · #10 09-01-2005, 04:12 PM

Why not push XY next hand?