#1
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semi-bluff w/99 gets snapped: priced in?
MP2 and Me and have been going back forth a lot. Steals and re-steals and bluffs and split pots the whole works. Overall from datamining he is aggro preflop and on the flop and then plays later streets passively. With a big pair I would expect him to lead into me for atleast 3/4 of the pot. Maybe he is aware of that expectation when he bet 1/2 pot on the flop, maybe he isn't it: but betting half there was a green light to me. When he pushes on the flop I'm getting 3.5 to 1 and guesstimating that I'm already ahead 30% of the time or more I've got a call already. Thoughts?
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (10 handed) converter BB ($141.35) UTG ($104.40) UTG+1 ($82.55) UTG+2 ($19.20) Hero ($128.45) MP2 ($106.50) MP3 ($188.08) CO ($76.87) Button ($68.90) SB ($99) Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $0.50. <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $3</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 raises to $12</font>, <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, Hero calls $9. Flop: ($25.50) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 bets $10</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $55</font>, MP2 pushes All-In (as the clock almost runs out) Hero calls $39.50. Final Pot: $130 |
#2
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Re: semi-bluff w/99 gets snapped: priced in?
As I review this hand I think everything is textbook w/ the exception of the flop raise which was read dependent. Ignore this post.
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