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#1
08-13-2005, 04:28 PM
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EV help
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (10 handed) converter
UTG ($41.25) UTG+1 ($50.25) UTG+2 ($70.42) MP1 ($66.25) MP2 ($50) MP3 ($11.60) CO ($38.80) Hero ($68.95) SB ($36.80) BB ($51.65) Preflop: Hero is Button with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. MP2 posts a blind of $0.50. SB posts a blind of $0.25. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls $0.50, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP1 calls $0.50, MP2 (poster) checks, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, CO calls $0.50, Hero calls $0.50, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB checks. Flop: ($3.25) K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(6 players)</font> BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 bets $3</font>, MP1 folds, MP2 folds, CO folds, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $10</font>, BB folds, UTG+1 calls $46.75 (All-In), Hero calls $39.75. I'll assume he makes this move with 2 pair (best case), so: cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV Qs Ts 395 39.90 595 60.10 0 0.00 0.399 2c Kd 595 60.10 395 39.90 0 0.00 0.601 So to me it looks like I have to call $39.15 to win a pot of $63.00. (39.15) / (63.00) = 0.62, and this is where I get stuck. Appreciate any help. Thanks 
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#2
08-13-2005, 05:11 PM
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Re: EV help
[ QUOTE ]
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (10 handed) converter UTG ($41.25) UTG+1 ($50.25) UTG+2 ($70.42) MP1 ($66.25) MP2 ($50) MP3 ($11.60) CO ($38.80) Hero ($68.95) SB ($36.80) BB ($51.65) Preflop: Hero is Button with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. MP2 posts a blind of $0.50. SB posts a blind of $0.25. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls $0.50, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP1 calls $0.50, MP2 (poster) checks, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, CO calls $0.50, Hero calls $0.50, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB checks. Flop: ($3.25) K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(6 players)</font> BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 bets $3</font>, MP1 folds, MP2 folds, CO folds, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $10</font>, BB folds, UTG+1 calls $46.75 (All-In), Hero calls $39.75. I'll assume he makes this move with 2 pair (best case), so: cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV Qs Ts 395 39.90 595 60.10 0 0.00 0.399 2c Kd 595 60.10 395 39.90 0 0.00 0.601 So to me it looks like I have to call $39.15 to win a pot of $63.00. (39.15) / (63.00) = 0.62, and this is where I get stuck. Appreciate any help. Thanks [/ QUOTE ] If villain has exactly what you say he has: K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], then you will win 40% of the time. That means you need 6:4 odds or 1.5:1 in order to make this call. The pot appears to have $16.25 in it before villain pushes for another $46.75. So, you need to call $39.15 to win a pot of $63.00. You are getting 62:38 or just better than 1.5:1. So, you can make this call, but it is just barely profitable in the long run with very large variance.
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#3
08-13-2005, 08:35 PM
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Re: EV help
If UTG+1 raising ranges include K2o in that position, I'd get a giggle out of it.
Tears
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#4
08-13-2005, 09:12 PM
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Re: EV help
[ QUOTE ]
If UTG+1 raising ranges include K2o in that position, I'd get a giggle out of it. Tears [/ QUOTE ] I agree with you, but OP was very specific about that this was the hand he was up against and wanted to know the EV of.
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