Bubble Question

11t · #1 03-19-2005, 07:39 PM

Is this an easy fold?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t400 (4 handed) converter

Hero (t3265)
UTG (t5130)
Button (t2080)
SB (t3025)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
1 fold, Button raises to t1225, SB folds.

Final Pot: t1300

theweatherman · #2 03-19-2005, 07:43 PM

To me it seems like an easy call. There are no real short stacks that you can outlast to the money. I think id take my 50/50 here and play for first, but I'm pretty new at this and like to hear what the better players decide.

microbet · #3 03-19-2005, 09:47 PM

[ QUOTE ]
To me it seems like an easy call.

[/ QUOTE ]

Do you mean push? I don't think it is a call at all. He may be betting less than a push because he wants to suck you in, or he may be leaving himself a way out. If you call, you will most likely be calling later bets, so if you want to play, get your money in now and give him a chance to fold.

microbet · #4 03-19-2005, 10:19 PM

77 is a coinflip to AA-22, A8+, KTs+, KJo+.
If he starts playing Aces or Kings with kickers 7 and under it gets better in a hurry.

If it is 50/50
ICM
.359 x .5 + .119 x .5 = .239 as if he pushed and you call
.231 fold

If he has a real wide range of hands it will be a lot better. If he has a real narrow range of hands it will be a lot worse. If it has been really easy to steal, a fold looks better.

Possible spot for a stop-n-go. If he misses completely he may still hope to get lucky with his 800 chips.

On the whole, without any read, I guess I lean towards stop-n-go.

eastbay · #5 03-19-2005, 10:20 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
To me it seems like an easy call.

[/ QUOTE ]

Do you mean push? I don't think it is a call at all. He may be betting less than a push because he wants to suck you in, or he may be leaving himself a way out. If you call, you will most likely be calling later bets, so if you want to play, get your money in now and give him a chance to fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

You don't see a stop-n-go line here?

eastbay

microbet · #6 03-19-2005, 10:20 PM

I take that back. I think stop-n-go might make him fold more than raising him preflop.

microbet · #7 03-19-2005, 10:31 PM

See my other post. I got it in just in the nick of time.

theweatherman · #8 03-21-2005, 01:51 AM

I thought the raiser was all-in. Since it turns out he isnt then id say push but DONT call.