#1
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Stupid or right call?
This is my first posting of a hand. Usually when I think about hands I wanted to post either I made a dumb move that caused another dumb move or I just got beaten by one of those 22-1 longshots (and I have taken an oath to nevr post a bad beat story). Since I have no idea how to use the converter here goes.
Interpoker WSOP sat. 150 entries 9 get seats for final sat. About 75 people are left. UTG 4465 UTG+1 852 MP1 3630 MP2 3945 MP3 3660 CO+1 sit out CO 1570 Button 1060 SB 4120 HERO - BB 920 Blinds 75/150 and going up to 100/200 in about two hands UTG calls 150, UTG+1 goes allin for 852, fold, MP2 raises to 1555, folds around to Hero. I am holding Ts2s which normally I would toss in a second BUT I went all in. Here is my thinking. Was I right, wrong in my analysis or just one of those morons who call with nothing and sometimes gets lucky? 1. After posting the BB I have 770 with a 75 SB coming next so about 5BB left. The next level is 100/200 then 100/200/25 so even if I double up from 700 I will still be very short stacked with 7BB. 2. My read on the other players was they would push with Ax or any two big cards. (Maybe wishfull thinking) So my outs are hitting a flush (since any two suited have the same odds of catching the flush) or maybe a pair will stand up if the board comes all low cards. 3. With three players the value of big hands decline and junk hands increase (but still can stay -EV) 4. If I hit I have 2917 and am back in the race with 20BB. So I pushed. UTG+1 showed Kd Jd MP+2 showed Ad Ac Hero Ts 2s Board came As 7h 8h Js Ks Hero wins with a flush. As you can imagine I caught a lot of flack for playing T2s. I had to turn off the chat for a while. In one hand my image went from being a weak-tight to a Gus Hanson want-to-be. My main question is (without regard to the result) was my reasoning correct and if not where did I go wrong? |
#2
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Re: Stupid or right call?
You didn't go into it with any illusions or overconfidence in your reads, you knew that you were in trouble and didn't want to get blinded out so you gambled. There's nothing wrong with that. You were getting 3-1 for a 20-1 and got there.
Take advantage of that image now that you have some ammo. |
#3
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Re: Stupid or right call?
[ QUOTE ]
You didn't go into it with any illusions or overconfidence in your reads, you knew that you were in trouble and didn't want to get blinded out so you gambled. There's nothing wrong with that. You were getting 3-1 for a 20-1 and got there. Take advantage of that image now that you have some ammo. [/ QUOTE ] Actually, he was getting 3-1 for 6-1, but i think he gets the idea. The call seems fine to me given his short stackedness. |
#4
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Re: Stupid or right call?
I would be reluctant to call with such a gap between my 2 cards, but it's a good call nevertheless. Been there done that with suited connectors to suited 3-gappers.
When you win with plays like these you'll not only get back on your feet, you'll get A LOT of action in your subsequent hands. Hit some cards and you'll sky-rocket to the top positions. |
#5
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Re: Stupid or right call?
You say "But Doyle won the WSOP TWICE with that hand."
Then start open pushing w/ high PP, get paid off, got to the WSOP, get rich and famous. |
#6
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Re: Stupid or right call?
You're a favorite to KJ.
http://twodimes.net/h/?z=807253 pokenum -h ad ac - ts 2s - kd jd Holdem Hi: 1370754 enumerated boards cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV Ac Ad 923625 67.38 442604 32.29 4525 0.33 0.675 Ts 2s 224840 16.40 1141389 83.27 4525 0.33 0.165 Kd Jd 217764 15.89 1148465 83.78 4525 0.33 0.160 |
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