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  #1  
Old 10-25-2004, 07:47 PM
Steve Chase Steve Chase is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 113
Default Poker Bankroll Swings

Can anyone post some weblinks for poker bandroll swing studies?

Here are some specifics I would like to get answers:

* Assuming each session I play one hour.
I play twice a week

* Assuming I play Limit Holdem

* Assuming each session I start my bankroll at 50BB
If I lost all of them, i refil 50BB

What I would like to know are:

* what is my one session swing?

- 100BB to +150BB?

I guess this depends on my skill.
Well what is the range for an average player?
what is the range for a very good player?

* What is my weekly swing?

* What is my monthly swing?

* What is my Annually swing?
Is yearly swing very predictable? For example, for a good player, will the range be something like: +1000BB + +100,000BB

Or monthly swing is very stable or predictable?

What about NL Holdem games? I see bigger swings with my NL Holdem sessions?

If there is no academic studies.
Can you post some of your swing numbers?

Everyone can have one bad hand (a bad beat hand);
I guess most people include very good player can have a bad session;
What about a bad week? a bad month? a bad year?

I guess if you are a good player, you cannot have a bad year.

Is anyone out there never have a bad month?

Thanks
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  #2  
Old 10-25-2004, 08:49 PM
Red_Eye_Jedi Red_Eye_Jedi is offline
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Location: Los Angeles
Posts: 33
Default Re: Poker Bankroll Swings

While I dont know about any published studies, I can tell you that swings happen to the best of em. Everyone has bad sessions. Everyone has bad weeks. Most will have bad months in their careers. If youre a solid player, IMO, you should have a hard time having a bad year, unless the last month or so took a huge bite out of your yearly profits.
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  #3  
Old 10-26-2004, 12:34 AM
Zetack Zetack is offline
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Posts: 656
Default Re: Poker Bankroll Swings

Note he's talking about at most 104 hours of play in a year, and that's if he never takes a week off. Undoubtedly even very good players can have a bad 104 hours.

--Zetack
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  #4  
Old 10-26-2004, 07:42 PM
Steve Chase Steve Chase is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 113
Default Re: Poker Bankroll Swings

What will be a good sample size?
1000 hours a year?
10,000 hours a year?

What is the average hours per week do most people play (online)?
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