Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Gambling > Probability
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10-18-2004, 12:50 PM
Big Bend Big Bend is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: National Park, Texas
Posts: 46
Default Runner Runner Royal - what are the odds?

This was a fun hand for me to say the least...

Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (6 max, 6 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. UTG posts a blind of $5.
MP folds, CO calls, Button folds, SB completes, <font color="CC3333">Hero raises</font>, UTG (poster) calls, CO calls, SB calls.

Flop: (8 SB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(4 players)</font>
<font color="CC3333">Hero bets</font>, UTG calls, CO folds, SB folds.

Turn: (5 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(2 players)</font>
<font color="CC3333">Hero bets</font>, UTG calls.

River: (7 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(2 players)</font>
<font color="CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="CC3333">UTG raises</font>, <font color="CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, <font color="CC3333">UTG caps</font>, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 15 BB


I'm wondering tho what were the odds of me getting this royal? I think I've read that the odds of getting a royal with a 5 card deal are something like 650000:1, but what about in a 7 card game like holdem, especially having to hit runner runner.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 10-18-2004, 01:40 PM
Indiana Indiana is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Indianapolis, IN
Posts: 69
Default Re: Runner Runner Royal - what are the odds?

Well, on the flop u had 2 cards to come with 47 left in the deck. 2 in the deck will make the royal...So the prob of the runner runner is 1/C(47,2) = .000925, or odds of 1080:1...Boy u got lucky!

Indiana
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 10-18-2004, 03:38 PM
SossMan SossMan is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Bay Area, CA
Posts: 559
Default Re: Runner Runner Royal - what are the odds?

(2/47) * (1/46) = .000929 or about .929 times in 1,000 or about 1075:1 'ish.

You play gooooood.

Of course, you did have 13 nut outs on the river.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 10-18-2004, 07:39 PM
Brineboitano Brineboitano is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 10
Default Re: Runner Runner Royal - what are the odds?

here's the other part of the question: what're the odds of ending up with a royal flush when you've got AKs in the blind if you stay in the hand the whole time. the answer is (C(47,2))/(C(50,5))= 1/1960
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 12:16 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.