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  #1  
Old 10-15-2004, 04:10 PM
tanda tanda is offline
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Default Is Kerry In Freefall?

TIPP tracking: Bush +3 and +4
Zogby tracking: Bush +4 (3 point gain today)
Rasmussen tracking: Bush +3.5 (0.9 point gain today)

OR: Bush +5
NJ: Tied

Broad-based deterioration for Kerry/Edwards.

Waiting on ABC/WaPo tracking for further confirmation.
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  #2  
Old 10-15-2004, 04:14 PM
slickpoppa slickpoppa is offline
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Default Re: Is Kerry In Freefall?

margin of error
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  #3  
Old 10-15-2004, 04:24 PM
Matty Matty is offline
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Default Re: Is Kerry In Freefall?

A closer look at the Rasmussen poll:

----- Bush Kerry
10/1- 49.7 45.1
10/2- 48.0 47.2
10/3- 48.0 46.1
10/4- 48.0 47.5
10/5- 45.7 47.1
10/6- 49.8 45.5
10/7- 49.8 45.7
10/8- 49.2 46.7
10/9- 49.7 44.2
10/10 48.2 45.4
10/11 44.1 48.0
10/12 50.5 45.2
10/13 50.9 44.5
10/14 45.6 46.8

http://www.mydd.com/story/2004/10/15/123558/26

And tradesports.com had a significant jump for Kerry.
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  #4  
Old 10-15-2004, 04:25 PM
El Barto El Barto is offline
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Default Re: Is Kerry In Freefall?

[ QUOTE ]
TIPP tracking: Bush +3 and +4
Zogby tracking: Bush +4 (3 point gain today)
Rasmussen tracking: Bush +3.5 (0.9 point gain today)

OR: Bush +5
NJ: Tied

Broad-based deterioration for Kerry/Edwards.

Waiting on ABC/WaPo tracking for further confirmation.

[/ QUOTE ]

WP/ABC has a tie

This site usually has all the tracking polls listed at the top of the page.
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  #5  
Old 10-15-2004, 04:28 PM
Matty Matty is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 14
Default Re: Is Kerry In Freefall?

[ QUOTE ]
WP/ABC has a tie

This site usually has all the tracking polls listed at the top of the page.

[/ QUOTE ]WP/ABC hasn't been updated yet. What you see is 10-13's result.
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  #6  
Old 10-15-2004, 04:32 PM
El Barto El Barto is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 119
Default Re: Is Kerry In Freefall?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
WP/ABC has a tie

This site usually has all the tracking polls listed at the top of the page.

[/ QUOTE ]WP/ABC hasn't been updated yet. What you see is 10-13's result.

[/ QUOTE ]

Gee, and here I was trying to throw you a bone. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
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  #7  
Old 10-15-2004, 04:44 PM
tanda tanda is offline
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Default Re: Is Kerry In Freefall?

You have to go 5 and 6 polls back in the 2 and 3 man horse races to find a Kerry lead.

But, since the MSM says its a dead heat, it must be. Keep drinking their Kool-Aid.
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  #8  
Old 10-15-2004, 05:10 PM
jakethebake jakethebake is offline
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Default Re: Is Kerry In Freefall?

Freefall? Why did you push him off your roof?
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  #9  
Old 10-15-2004, 05:22 PM
Dynasty Dynasty is offline
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Default Re: Is Kerry In Freefall?

The Zogby poll (Bush 48, Kerry 44) was a real shocker when I saw it today. This daily tracking poll is done by phone calls rather than through the internet like their state polls are done.Just a few days ago, the same Zogby poll had Kerry at +3. Then, it was Kerry +1, tied, and Bush +1 (if I'm remembering correctly).

It appears that Bush has held onto about a 2 point lead. For those who dismiss the national polls, a 2 point lead on Election Day is almost certainly going to win the election. The Electoral College will follow the popular vote when one candidate's victory is that "large".
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  #10  
Old 10-15-2004, 05:24 PM
Dynasty Dynasty is offline
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Location: Las Vegas
Posts: 4,044
Default Re: Is Kerry In Freefall?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
WP/ABC has a tie

This site usually has all the tracking polls listed at the top of the page.

[/ QUOTE ]WP/ABC hasn't been updated yet. What you see is 10-13's result.

[/ QUOTE ]

The Washington Post daily tracking poll was just released. It's Bush 48, Kerry 48, Nader 1.
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