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  #1  
Old 10-31-2004, 01:13 PM
Ralph Wiggum Ralph Wiggum is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Springfield \"Was president Lincoln okay?\"
Posts: 149
Default Quickie: River Play - TT w/ 4 club board

Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (9 handed)
BB is some guy/gal playing online. MP3 is a TAG from what I've seen.

Preflop: Hero is SB with T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="666666">2 folds</font>, MP1 calls, <font color="666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="CC3333">MP3 raises</font>, <font color="666666">1 fold</font>, Button calls, Hero calls, BB calls, MP1 calls.

Flop: (10 SB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(5 players)</font>
Hero checks, BB checks, MP1 checks, <font color="CC3333">MP3 bets</font>, Button folds, <font color="CC3333">Hero raises</font>, BB calls, MP1 folds, MP3 calls.

Turn: (8 BB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(3 players)</font>
<font color="CC3333">Hero bets</font>, BB calls, MP3 calls.

River: (11 BB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(3 players)</font>
<font color="CC3333">Hero bets</font>, BB calls, <font color="CC3333">MP3 raises</font>, Hero folds, BB calls.
I bet initially on the river, thinking that it may be for value. When MP3 raised me, I was pretty sure that I was beat. Can I take this line in a big pot like this?

Final Pot: 16 BB
<font color="green">Main Pot: 16 BB, between BB and MP3.</font>
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  #2  
Old 10-31-2004, 02:27 PM
Rubeskies Rubeskies is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 1
Default Re: Quickie: River Play - TT w/ 4 club board

I like the fold because there is very good reason to expect that this is not a bluff. Your read is suspected TAG and most TAGs are not going to bluff after there has been a bet and a call on the river. Bluffing here into two opponents who have shown interest in the board would be pretty dumb.

Also, a TAG MP3 raised preflop giving a high probability of having high cards. There is a 50% chance of one of those high cards being a club right? (Or less because 4 on the board and 1 in the hero's hand?)
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