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#1
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Villain is 52/0 over 60 something hands with AF on the 3 streets of 0.12/0.54/3.34. I've folded to his river check/raise once after raising PF and betting all the way, haven't seen him bluff yet.
PokerStars 2/4 Hold'em (6 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx Preflop: Hero is UTG with J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, SB calls, BB calls. Flop: (6 SB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, SB calls, BB calls. Turn: (4.50 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises</font>, BB folds, Hero ??? |
#2
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I'd call it down. Even if he never bluffs, this is quite frequently a weaker ace. If he took notice of your river fold it might even be a lone K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] despite his numbers.
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#3
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what style do those stats correspond to (i.e. tight/loose, passive/neutral/agressive, etc.)?
unless he's pretty agressive i'd say you're already beat. the pot isn't that big either. probably fold. |
#4
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looks appropriate
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#5
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You think this is a flush over 75% of the time?
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#6
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My rule of thumb is not to fold here if the turn is an overcard to the flop and it helped my hand. He could be doing this with a weak ace, like Redd said, or he could be doing it with two pair (e.g. Ace rag), in which case you've got a decent number of outs. I think you can call down.
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#7
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Do you have a WSD figure?
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#8
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[ QUOTE ]
You think this is a flush over 75% of the time? [/ QUOTE ] it doesn't have to be a flush. sets, aces up, joo know? next time this happens against him i'm going to think maybe he's trying to punk me |
#9
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[ QUOTE ]
what style do those stats correspond to (i.e. tight/loose, passive/neutral/agressive, etc.)? unless he's pretty agressive i'd say you're already beat. the pot isn't that big either. probably fold. [/ QUOTE ] I have to agree. If I'm the villain I don't bluff here if I put hero on an ace. He's liable to call me down, making the bluff backfire. If I'm strong -- two pair or better -- I checkraise for value here, because nine times out of ten they call and then call again on the river. For me, as a player, checkraising for value in a situation like that is something I do automatically the majority of the time, and I get paid off so often I feel guilty. The turn is the best time for it -- if I wake up and bet out on the turn, they may get scared. If I checkraise the turn, they already feel committed somehow, and allow themselves to be strung along down to the river. If I bet the turn and try to checkraise the river, they're more than likely going to check behind me. If hero can lay down his hand there, it's a good fold. |
#10
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[ QUOTE ]
Do you have a WSD figure? [/ QUOTE ] Fairly low for someone with his other stats, like 33%. Don't see how it helps the decision much, though, especially since this takes awhile to converge. |
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