#1
|
|||
|
|||
($16) TT in the BB
Villain is ABC.
Blinds are 100/200 a25. We are 5 handed. Relevant Stacks: UTG t2195 Hero in BB with t1755 UTG raises to 800, folds to Hero who... I am 100% sure he is calling a push and I figure he at best has over cards or very likely a higher pair. I figure the only PP I am beating that he might do this with is 99 and maybe 88. Fold, push, or stop and go? |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Re: ($16) TT in the BB
Interesting hand. An ABC player raising 4 of his remaining 11bb's. Hmmmmm...
What motivates him to NOT open push himself? Either something that he's not 100% committed to going broke with, or a hand that really wouldn't mind a call. I'm not even looking to screw around with a huge Ace, TT-QQ. I'd expect to see an open push more from these types of hands. That just leaves the big boys, and the pairs you beat. And as you mentioned, how low of a pocket pair could he be representing here...maybe just the 88-99 stuff. You do see all kinds of goofy leads with stacks that you'd think might be open pushing. But more so on the weaker side...limps, and mins. Can you dig up/approximate the stacks of the others? |
#3
|
|||
|
|||
Re: ($16) TT in the BB
If his range is what you say it is and you're sure he'd call a push, pushing is not a good idea.
But a stop-n-go is an intriguing option. If you put him on a range 99+,AJs+,AJo+,KQs,KQo, 72% of the time he'll have two overs. And he'll only improve on the flop ~32% of the time. If you figure he'll call even when he doesn't improve on the flop ~25% of the time, I cast my vote for the stop-n-go. |
#4
|
|||
|
|||
Re: ($16) TT in the BB
Rough estimates of stacks besides UTG and myself:
UTG+1 = 6k MP = 1k SB = 3k |
#5
|
|||
|
|||
Re: ($16) TT in the BB
[ QUOTE ]
Interesting hand. An ABC player raising 4 of his remaining 11bb's. Hmmmmm... What motivates him to NOT open push himself? Either something that he's not 100% committed to going broke with, or a hand that really wouldn't mind a call. [/ QUOTE ] Either that, or he's a straightforward player who doesn't know how to work shorter stacks, which is my usual assumption at low buyins until I see otherwise. In this case I'm not sure it matters too much, as he's probably not going to find a fold no matter what, and against his likely range TT isn't that exciting. |
#6
|
|||
|
|||
Re: ($16) TT in the BB
Given your range, IT states that we need JJ+ (assuming he pushed). Certainly pretty close. I might just find a fold here. Easier done if the two guys on my left weren't resisting too much (including this villian). Even after being blind raped, you still have a fair amount of FE over both the mid-stacks. I don't think pushing over is all that bad either though.
|
#7
|
|||
|
|||
Re: ($16) TT in the BB
Yah, I think folding here is the best option.
I wound up stop and going on an ace high board and he went into the tank and called with like 3 seconds left in his timebank with QQ. So close yet so far away. |
|
|