#1
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QQ Call?
Playing 1/2 I have about 215 I have villain covered
Hes a fairly tight aggressive player, he makes a lot of raises with pocket pairs, my image tight and aggressive I make it 10 to with QQ from early postion and he calls from the small blind. Flop is: 8 7 6 with 2 clubs I bet 20 and he calls Turn is: 10 He pushes all in for 70 Should I call or lay it down? What do you put him on? Results later |
#2
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Re: QQ Call?
This is an easy spot to bluff a 9, tough spot to be in though. Ii really don't know what I would do for sure, I might fold but then again I'm a wuss.....
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#3
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Re: QQ Call?
[ QUOTE ]
Playing 1/2 I have about 215 I have villain covered Hes a fairly tight aggressive player, he makes a lot of raises with pocket pairs, my image tight and aggressive I make it 10 to with QQ from early postion and he calls from the small blind. Flop is: 8 7 6 with 2 clubs I bet 20 and he calls Turn is: 10 He pushes all in for 70 Should I call or lay it down? What do you put him on? Results later [/ QUOTE ] I'm guessing the 10 was NOT the third club or else you would have noted it. You said villain raises a lot of pocket pairs, but he probably doesn't reraise most of them when he's out of position if he is "tight aggressive". After he pushes, there is $130 in the pot and you have to call $70. In order to make this call +EV you have to win 35% of the time. Villains likely holdings are:AA,KK,QQ(unlikely), JJ,TT,99,88,77,66, A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] and A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. Against AA (6 ways), you are 4% to win. Against KK (6 ways), you are 4% to win. Against QQ (1 way), you split. Against JJ (6 ways), you are 87% to win. Against TT (3 ways), you are 4% to win. Against 99 (6 ways), you are 0% to win. Against 88 (3 ways), you are 4% to win. Against 77 (3 ways), you are 4% to win. Against 66 (3 ways), you are 4% to win. Against A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (1 way), you are 62% to win. Against A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (1 way), you are 69% to win. I think AKs and AQs smooth calling both preflop and the flop are very unlikely unless they had a flush draw. Therefore, flush draw eliminates many of the AK and AQ possibilities except spades. A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] and A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] are less likely than any of the pocket pairs. On the average, you are ~19% to win this hand against opponents hand range. Given this information, I don't really see how you can call this. |
#4
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Re: QQ Call?
Results?
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#5
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Re: QQ Call?
Nice analysis Godfather.
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#6
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Re: QQ Call?
[ QUOTE ]
Nice analysis Godfather. [/ QUOTE ] Thanks, but do you agree with it? |
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