I play g00t.

cpk · #1 02-02-2005, 03:04 AM

Party Poker 0.5/1 Hold'em (10 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is BB with J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
2 folds, UTG+2 :#A500AF(LAP 90/21/0.9)/ raises, MP1 calls, MP2 calls, 1 fold, CO calls, 2 folds, Hero 3-bets, UTG+2 :#A500AF(LAP 90/21/0.9)/ caps, MP1 calls, MP2 calls, CO calls, Hero calls.

Flop: (20.50 SB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (5 players)
Hero checks, LAP 90/21/0.9 bets, MP1 calls, MP2 calls, CO calls, Hero raises, LAP 90/21/0.9 3-bets, MP1 calls, MP2 calls, CO calls, Hero caps, LAP 90/21/0.9 calls, MP1 calls, MP2 calls, CO calls.

Turn: (20.25 BB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (5 players)
Hero checks, LAP 90/21/0.9 checks, MP1 checks, MP2 bets, CO calls, Hero raises, LAP 90/21/0.9 calls, MP1 calls, MP2 calls, CO calls.

River: (30.25 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (5 players)
Hero bets, LAP 90/21/0.9 folds, MP1 folds, MP2 raises, CO folds, Hero 3-bets, MP2 calls.

Final Pot: 36.25 BB

Joe Tall · #2 02-02-2005, 03:25 AM

Preflop: Just call out of the BB, you have what could be a dominated Ace and are going to be out of position for the rest of the hand. If you flop good you can out play the rest of your opponents with good relative position to the PFR. In addition, you open yourself up to a cap.

Flop: The flop play is fine, you have the proper amount of overcallers to get the money in.

Turn: Yes, you picked up outs but you may get re-raised again and only should c/r if you are going to get the others to fold. You are throwing money away here.

River: Well done.

Go Pats!
Joe Tall

cpk · #3 02-02-2005, 05:14 AM

Preflop.

You do realize that the PFR raised 21% of the time on a sample of more than 200 hands, right? I only play 25% of hands on the button. Imagine what his possible holdings are. The cold-callers worry me slightly more, but only slightly. This big suited ace of mine probably leads the field--and if it does, it leads by a massive amount, with a pot equity of more than 4. If it does not, there's enough dead money that the raise doesn't kill me badly.

Turn Play

If I could value my Ace fully, I had 15 outs on the turn, which is just barely more than 2:1 against. Therefore, if anyone calls cold behind me, it is a profitable raise. As well, extra action takes into account the discounted ace outs (most of the other outs are to the nuts). Further, this action confuses opponents and might lead to an inexpensive showdown if I back into a pair.

However, I'm not going to call the turn play a "mandatory" line, because (a) it is marginal, (b) all kinds of things can go wrong with it.

Overall remarks

After reading SSH, my game grew a bit unstable. I'm doing well online, but I went off for a large number at a local cardroom applying the concepts I learned to 3/6. I think I'm beginning to see the difference between appropriate and promiscuous aggression, and my results are improving accordingly.

Joe Tall · #4 02-02-2005, 08:31 AM

You do realize that the PFR raised 21% of the time on a sample of more than 200 hands, right?

What you have to realize is that such players are the toughest to play against, as maniacs get pocket KKs too. We don't need to pay a cap w/AJs out of position, it's a call.

If I could value my Ace fully, I had 15 outs on the turn, which is just barely more than 2:1 against. Therefore, if anyone calls cold behind me, it is a profitable raise

It's not profitable as you think as you are failing to calculate the % of time you are 3-bet on the turn by a made hand.

Go Pats!
Joe Tall

cpk · #5 02-02-2005, 08:16 PM

What you have to realize is that such players are the toughest to play against, as maniacs get pocket KKs too. We don't need to pay a cap w/AJs out of position, it's a call.

The chance I'm dominated by the maniac is calculated as AA (3), KK (6), QQ (6), JJ (3), AK (12), AQ (12) = 42 combinations. He raises on approximately 278 combinations of hands. This means I am dominated slightly more often than one time out of seven. Realize that this is approximately the frequency that someone will have AA vs. your KK--yet you would never suggest calling with KK in a million years.

As for your other point, playing the nuts or nut draws is no more difficult against maniacs than against rocks. In fact, in many ways it's easier, as they are the most predictable of any opponents.

It's not profitable as you think as you are failing to calculate the % of time you are 3-bet on the turn by a made hand.

This is not a "made hand" vs. draw position. I will most likely outdraw the aggressor 1 time in 3. I will have the nut straight or higher better than 1 time in 4.

The very worst that can happen is that I get 3-bet against 2 opponents and that my Ace is no good. In that case, my EV is 6 * 12/46 - 3 * 34/46 = 72 - 102 = -30/46 or slightly more than half a big bet. But that's the very worse case.

What is more likely is that I will get 3 callers anyway and my Ace is good. Even if I get 3-bet, I still win: 9 * 15/46 - 3 * 31/46 = 42/46. Almost a full bet in the black. If I cap it, this increases to 56/46.

Therefore, the way it turned out, it's +EV no matter how many bets go in the pot. In fact, I make yet more money on each bet. This is what you do not seem to realize. It makes me wonder how much you're leaving on the table in these situations.

What I will admit is that this play is not without risk. But getting up in the morning is not without risk.

Joe Tall · #6 02-02-2005, 08:30 PM

It makes me wonder how much you're leaving on the table in these situations.

Plays like this are leaving it in my pocket.

I will most likely outdraw the aggressor 1 time in 3.

Hmmmm, you lose 2-3 times but most likely outdraw, interesting.

Good luck with all of this,
Joe Tall

Brian · #7 02-02-2005, 11:01 PM

[ QUOTE ]
What you have to realize is that such players are the toughest to play against, as maniacs get pocket KKs too.

[/ QUOTE ]

I disagree, Joe. AJs is too strong of a hand against a LAG to not re-raise pre-Flop for value. While it is true that he will sometimes have a better hand, someone with a VPIP of 90 and a PFR of 20 is going to be raising a LOT of hands here that are MUCH worse than AJs. We're talking A9o, QTo, etc. You're simply giving up too much pre-Flop by not re-raising. Why are you worried about KK? That is not the way to play against a LAG in a large, multiway pot.

-Brian

IsaacW · #8 02-02-2005, 11:29 AM

Joe Tall sez: "cpk pwned!"

[ QUOTE ]
I think I'm beginning to see the difference between appropriate and promiscuous aggression, and my results are improving accordingly.

[/ QUOTE ]
Appparently you're not done seeing the difference, at least not based on this hand. Neither am I, of course, but that turn check/raise is way out of line.

Nice river [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

cpk · #9 02-02-2005, 08:22 PM

"Way out of line" = fundamentally -EV. It's not. It is dangerous, but I like a little danger.

milesdyson · #10 02-02-2005, 03:43 AM

Preflop three bet goes either way. I wouldn't do it, but I don't think its bad at all. There's a good chance you have the best hand, since his PFR% is 21. Plus, your hand is suited and there are three lovely coldcallers trapped.

I really only dislike the turn play. Just check call here.