#1
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ICM Help Required..
OK guys, I've FINALLY got round to giving this ICM stuff a crack, I'm going to use a hand I had in an earlier $5 SNG as an example, here's the situation...
Blinds: 100/200 (+25 antes) UTG (3360 in chips) BUTTON (7135 in chips) SB (HERO) (2040 in chips) BB (965 in chips) It's Folded to HERO in the SB who holds A2s. Reads: HERO had been pushing from the button a few times with good hands recently but being uncalled. May appear to be stealing frequently. However BB has folded quite a bit so I'd give him an average to tight calling range... Now this is where I need some help: This is how I've worked out everything on ICM... is this all correct? 1) you fold UTG 3335 Button 7110 HERO 1915 BB 1140 20.4% of the prize pool 2a) you push and lose UTG 3335 Button 7110 HERO 1050 BB 2005 12.2% of the prize pool 2b) you push and win UTG 3335 Button 7110 HERO 3055 BB 0 30.5% of the prize pool 2c) you push and he folds UTG 3335 Button 7110 HERO 2315 SB 740 23.9% of the prize pool 2d) you push and split UTG 3335 Button 7110 HERO 2065 BB 990 21.8% of the prize pool Now I've also downloaded Pokerstove, and I gave villian a range of: 22+, A6s+, A7o+, KJs+, KJo+. Does this sound fair enough to you? Here's again where I need help.. these are the results: Text results appended to pokerstove.txt 327,050,064 games 1.810 secs 180,690,643 games/sec Board: Dead: equity (%) win (%) tie (%) Hand 1: 37.7131 % 34.48% 03.23% { Ac2c } Hand 2: 62.2869 % 59.06% 03.23% { 22+, A6s+, KJs+, A7o+, KJo+ } But NOW I'm stuck... I'm unsure what I do with this numbers to help determine if a push here is +EV? ... Thanks for your help. |
#2
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Re: ICM Help Required..
Here you go. ICM Clinic
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#3
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Re: ICM Help Required..
I used that to get where I am, but because it's a different situation (calling a push rather than making it) I'm stuck on what to do with my numbers next...
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#4
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Re: ICM Help Required..
solve for push instead of call. Push =
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#5
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Re: ICM Help Required..
Yes sorry, I'm SB with A2s.
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#6
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Re: ICM Help Required..
Pushing = (probability of getting called)(ICM 4 Push/Win) + (probability of getting called)(ICM 4 Push/Lose) + (probability of not getting called)(ICM 4 Push/Steal Blinds)
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#7
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Re: ICM Help Required..
Cheers dude, given the range I've given villian is there an easy way to figure out % of not getting called... ?
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#8
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Re: ICM Help Required..
or simply (probability of getting called) x (ICM 4 Push/Win - ICM 4 Push/Lose) + (1 - probability of getting called) x (ICM 4 Push/Steal Blinds)
ie. P(W - L) + F(1 - P) |
#9
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Re: ICM Help Required..
Yes there is, you just look at the K-S chart and see how many of the 1225 ( [50 x 49] / 2 - you hold two cards yourself and order isn't important) combinations he is calling with, say it's 300 then that's 300/1225 or just under 25% = P and just over 75% = 1 - P
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#10
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Re: ICM Help Required..
never mind...
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