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#1
09-23-2005, 09:09 AM
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nfl week 3 picks
NFL YTD: 5-4-1
Buffalo -2.5 vs. Atlanta - Atlanta flies all the way back across the country to face a quality defense on the road. With Vick banged up, the Falcons are left to just sit on the ropes by the boardwalk and wait for passers by to drop crumbs, and occasionally circle around a lamppost and crap on someone's head. Buffalo will respond at home after being embarassed last week in Tampa Bay, and J.P. Losman will finally complete a pass. Atlanta's offense is getting easier to stop as teams challenge Vick to pass while zeroing in on ways to stop his running abilities. In this game, he wont be running much due to his injury, and the Buffalo D will have a field day on the wobbly, wounded ducks. Philly -8 - [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] A lot of people are focused on offense in this game, but defense will be the primary factor in the Eagles' big victory. Oakland has given up 23 and 30 so far to above-average offenses in KC and New England. The defensive line is a mess, the secondary is a mess, and with all of the offensive weapons the Eagles have, you should see a lot of hurt feelings in the silver and black at the Linc on Sunday. You could mention Randy Moss, but let's look at the two games last year that this Eagles secondary has played Randy Moss (with a much better QB, at that): Playoffs, Jan. 17 at the Linc - Randy Moss, 3 catches, 51 yds (Eagles 27, Vikings 14) Monday Night, Sept. 20 at the Linc - Randy Moss, 8 catches, 69 yds, 1 TD (Eagles 26, Vikings 17) We won't see a performance like last week due to the fact that the Raiders do actually have players on the field attempting to play defense, but double digits is the key here. Flame on. Other picks: Jacksonville +2.5 @ NYJ Tenn/STL under 46 San Fran +6.5 vs Dallas Fading Big Al's picks YTD 1-1 Taking Tennessee +6.5 @ STL 
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#2
09-23-2005, 11:03 AM
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Re: nfl week 3 picks
No concern about McNabb / TO being banged up? Last I read, McNabb might see very limited duties which probably slows this game down a lot.
What are your thoughts on the Rams under? I believe the Rams are going to be out to prove that their shaky start is a fluke and the friendly home turf adds so much speed to that team that putting up four or five touchdowns themselves isn't unlikely. Unless you just figure that's the common public perception and thus the under has the value...
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#3
09-23-2005, 11:10 AM
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Re: nfl week 3 picks
[ QUOTE ]
No concern about McNabb / TO being banged up? Last I read, McNabb might see very limited duties which probably slows this game down a lot. [/ QUOTE ] None whatsoever. McNabb will play all game unless he breaks something, or they are up by 4 TD's. [ QUOTE ] What are your thoughts on the Rams under? I believe the Rams are going to be out to prove that their shaky start is a fluke and the friendly home turf adds so much speed to that team that putting up four or five touchdowns themselves isn't unlikely. Unless you just figure that's the common public perception and thus the under has the value... [/ QUOTE ] Part of it is public perception, but this Rams offense is borderline average on whatever surface: grass, turf, clay, etc. - I just don't see the two teams combining for a huge score, not with Tenn. looking to continue playing solid defense, and Mike Martz doing a good impersonation of a coach who wants to lose his job. I dont see an offensive explosion this week, the total of the game should be right around the number posted but I'm leaning under.
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#7
09-25-2005, 04:20 PM
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Re: nfl week 3 picks
Oh man. The Philly bets are always good for a laugh.
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#8
09-25-2005, 06:53 PM
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Re: nfl week 3 picks
[ QUOTE ]
Buffalo -2.5 vs. Atlanta Philly -8 Jacksonville +2.5 @ NYJ Tenn/STL under 46 ADDING: New Orleans/Minnesota OVER 44 [/ QUOTE ] Philly 23, Oakland 20 Atlanta 24, Buffalo 16 Jacksonville 26, NYJ 20 STL 31, Tennessee 27 Minnesota 33, NO 16 Waiting for Dal/SF outcome. [ QUOTE ] Fading Big Al's picks YTD 1-1 Taking Tennessee +6.5 @ STL [/ QUOTE ] STL 31, Tennesse 27 Fading Big Al's Picks YTD: 2-1
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