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#1
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PokerStars 0.25/0.50 Hold'em (10 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx
Preflop: Hero is MP2 with K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. CO posts a blind of $0.35. <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+2 raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO (poster) caps</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, UTG+2 calls, Hero calls. Did CO get dealt a real hand right out of the gate? What range of hands do you put him on? I felt AA/KK/QQ/AKs all very possible. JJ and TT I guess also possible. Flop: (13.80 SB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> UTG+2 checks, Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets</font>, UTG+2 folds, Hero calls. I called getting 14.8:1 as Im not ready to abandon my stake in this pot as of yet. Turn: (7.90 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets</font>, Hero calls. I was going to c/r the turn after the K hit but here was what I was thinking in the heat of battle. If he has AA Im drawing slim. If he has KK Im drawing dead but I felt this hand probably not likely. If he has a hand lower than my K's he will be drawing slim and I don't want to lose him. With AK we split. River: (9.90 BB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets</font>, Hero calls. Thanks for any thoughts on this one. Final Pot: 11.90 BB |
#2
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Looks good. If the person is not very aggressive, though, you're beat. And he probably doesn't have KK since there are only two kings left in the deck. I expect you'll get shown AK here more often than not.
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#3
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I would have bet the riv. Looks good otherwise.
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#4
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I'm probably betting the turn and calling down a 3-bet.
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#5
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Seems to me your logic on the flop and turn contradict each other. If you can't count the K as an out on the turn then what did you think your outs were on the flop? If your only out on the flop is an A then you have 3 outs which is just barely enough to call getting 14.8: 1 (break even odds 14.3:1), but if the A outs aren't clean and you don't think the K outs are clean then you might be better off folding.
That said I think you are giving CO alot of credit here and if you are not pretty sure he has AA or KK I think your line is good. |
#6
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On the flop I gave myself about 4 outs. .5 for each overcard and another 1 for the nut backdoor flush.
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#7
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I don't think you need to worry about outs too much here. I think a good percent of the time villain has AK and you split. So folding would be a big mistake.
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#8
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why do you assume your behind on the flop?
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#9
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I donk the river and call a raise.
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#10
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[ QUOTE ]
I would have bet the riv. Looks good otherwise. [/ QUOTE ] I'm thinking that a check on the river is the best option, b/c Hero is always calling a raise. If you think he caps preflop and calls the river more than 50% with QQ, JJ, TT a bet is fine. If he doesn't cap TT - he has to call 66% of the time with QQ, JJ. If his capping range is AK+, AA, KK, QQ. A bet on the river is - EV. |
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