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#1
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Rockies +144
Currently sitting at +144 at Pinny, definitely a nice edge there (50+ cents).
Aaron Cook has pitched great on the road in just a few starts this season, and has nice lifetime numbers against San Diego (4-2, 3.34, 1.38). Chan Ho Park's record since joining the Padres is misleading, as he's gone 4-1 with an ERA over SIX and a WHIP over 1.50. He doesn't go deep into ballgames, averaging just over 5.1 innings per start. Colorado has been playing pretty well as a team lately, as San Diego has been mediocre. This line should be -120 in Colorado's favor, IMHO. |
#2
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Re: Rockies +144
Rockies on the road???
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#3
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Re: Rockies +144
9-6 on the road in August... not too shabby in my opinion...
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#4
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Re: Rockies +144
19-46 overall
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#5
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Re: Rockies +144
[ QUOTE ]
19-46 overall [/ QUOTE ] So does this stat mean to never bet on the Rockies on the road? Or is it possible that there still might be some value in a bet where they are on the road? Do you only place bets on teams with winning records? I don't mean to be a dick, but you are a douche bag. -SC |
#6
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Re: Rockies +144
It just means that you need an awful lot to go with the Rockies. Sometimes, the big picture things are important. It's after the first inning, the Rockies do look like the right pick.
BTW--For the most part, I only bet on teams with winning records. It works out pretty well. |
#7
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Re: Rockies +144
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] 19-46 overall [/ QUOTE ] So does this stat mean to never bet on the Rockies on the road? Or is it possible that there still might be some value in a bet where they are on the road? Do you only place bets on teams with winning records? I don't mean to be a dick, but you are a douche bag. -SC [/ QUOTE ] First of all, you are being a dick. The guy was just pointing out a fact - that the Rockies generally suck on the road. I don't think this year's stats are that meaningful - H/R splits are subject to wild fluctuations, and take a VERY long time to establish any degree of confidence. However, the Rockies have had a gigantic H/R split since they joined the league (+157 points at home). That's about double the HFA for the average team. I believe the pitcher matchup favored the Rockies. Park is a pretty crappy pitcher as pointed out, and Cook has been solid if not overpowering. He's actually a good fit for Colorado, IMO, with a 2.9 or so GB/FB ratio. He hasn't given up a home run this year so far and has demonstrated pretty good control. Still, you've got the Rockies on the road, and the pitching matchup has to be HUGELY favorable to make claims like they should be -120. That doesn't mean it's a bad play - if I had to pick I'd have taken the Rockies in this one. But I doubt anyone has gotten rich betting on the Rockies on the road. By the way - I am not trying to bash whipsaw for any of his analysis. I think it's really generous of him to offer his advice for free on this forum. I just think whipsaw takes small sample sizes with low ERAs too seriously. I'm glad the pick worked out; though Id have placed the true line closer to +130 for Colorado rather than -120. By the way, after reading through the rest of this thread, I agree this other guy is a douche bag. But only because he reversed his opinion based on the outcome of a virtual coin flip. |
#8
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Re: Rockies +144
[ QUOTE ]
Rockies on the road??? [/ QUOTE ] my thoughts exactly [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] ok whipsaw im with you on this one [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img] |
#9
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Re: Rockies +144
How bout those Rocks! 3-0 mid 1st [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] Thanks for the tip.
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#10
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Re: Rockies +144
[ QUOTE ]
How bout those Rocks! 3-0 mid 1st [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] Thanks for the tip. [/ QUOTE ] heh good to see things are working out... the dogs havent been comming in for whipsaw the last few days [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] |
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