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#1
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call all-in with A9o on the bubble?
Party $55 SNG, Blinds 150/300, 4-handed
UTG (2955) folds, Button (1560) folds, SB (2790) pushes. I have A9o and 2695 in the BB. SB folded the SB to me a couple of orbits ago. Doesn't seem to be overly LAG or overly tight. First time playing with him, though, so not really sure. Table is playing normal bubble poker, i.e. open-raiser is taking every pot. Several orbits have gone by since 5th busted out (which was the last showdown). Call or fold? Thanks, Che |
#2
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Re: call all-in with A9o on the bubble?
easy easy fold bro
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#3
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Re: call all-in with A9o on the bubble?
There's actually no range he can have here that makes this +$EV.
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#4
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Re: call all-in with A9o on the bubble?
[ QUOTE ]
There's actually no range he can have here that makes this +$EV. [/ QUOTE ] i'd have a hard time calling w/ AK in this spot, and i'm most definately folding AQ. TT and i wince and maybe fold, 99 is an auto muck |
#5
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Re: call all-in with A9o on the bubble?
AK should be a call. even his SB's very tight range (AT+/KQ/77+):
fold: 2400 call: # WIN% WIN CHIPS AA 3 0.074 1198.8 AK 9 0.5 24300 AQ 12 0.73 47304 AJ 12 0.73 47304 AT 12 0.73 47304 KK 3 0.3 4860 QQ 6 0.44 14256 JJ 6 0.44 14256 TT 6 0.44 14256 99 6 0.44 14256 88 6 0.44 14256 77 6 0.44 14256 KQ 9 0.73 35478 96 293284.8 3055.05 by calling, you would have ~3000 chips. AQ: 2400 vs 2727 TT: 2400 vs 2931 |
#6
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Re: call all-in with A9o on the bubble?
So...you've demonstrated that a call with AK would be +cEV, but I see no demonstration that it would be +$EV. It's possible that a call can gain you chips on average and still be wrong.
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#7
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Re: call all-in with A9o on the bubble?
[ QUOTE ]
i'd have a hard time calling w/ AK in this spot, and i'm most definately folding AQ. [/ QUOTE ] I can't fathom how AK is not +EV in this situation. |
#8
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Re: call all-in with A9o on the bubble?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] i'd have a hard time calling w/ AK in this spot, and i'm most definately folding AQ. [/ QUOTE ] I can't fathom how AK is not +EV in this situation. [/ QUOTE ] If you make one minor adjustment to the players stacks, it could be. |
#9
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Re: call all-in with A9o on the bubble?
Can someone explain how to use sng analyzer to figure out these sorts of things (or point me in the right direction)? I am just getting started with it, understand the push calculations but not calling.
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#10
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Re: call all-in with A9o on the bubble?
In the upper right corner, change raise to call. You can then set what position you are in and what position the all-in is coming from.
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