#1
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$22 Fold AKs on the bubble?
All remaining players seem solid.
Can I use the "AK is a drawing hand" defense on this one? Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t300 (4 handed) converter UTG (t3040) Button (t2007) SB (t703) Hero (t2250) Preflop: Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to t600</font>, Button goes all in [t2007] <font color="#666666">[i], SB folds, Hero folds. |
#2
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Re: $22 Fold AKs on the bubble?
I think this is a fold. Button has to have a very good hand here to come over the top, knowing that SB has only 2bb and you have him covered. I think...
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#3
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Re: $22 Fold AKs on the bubble?
I think this is an easy push.
I think UTG minraises, unless very infrequent, are weakness. I think a good player can be coming over the top with a lot of hands from the button.AK is too good to fold here, I think it starts getting close with AQ. |
#4
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Re: $22 Fold AKs on the bubble?
This is a definite fold.
Calling here is awful. |
#5
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Re: $22 Fold AKs on the bubble?
[ QUOTE ]
This is a definite fold. Calling here is awful. [/ QUOTE ] More interesting maybe, do you call with QQ? |
#6
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Re: $22 Fold AKs on the bubble?
Yah, especially at the 22's with 7xbb. People do stupid stuff and he could have TT or AJ/AQ I mean QQ is going to be way ahead of a lot of hands that AK is not.
I would need a very large stack versus an extremely tight player who had me covered to fold QQ 4 handed when there is a short stack present. |
#7
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Re: $22 Fold AKs on the bubble?
Amazingly easy fold.
KK and AA are pushes, the interesting situation is with QQ. JJ downwards are all folds. |
#8
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Re: $22 Fold AKs on the bubble?
I do not play the 20s, but I do not think a button range TT+, AJ+ KQ is that off, which I think would be close with the extra money from UTG minraise.
FWIW I do not think pushing AJ would be a mistake against a typical UTG raise, but I do not remember the 20s and may underestimate the chance of getting donkcalled. Edit: messing around with SNGPT without UTG 600 chips it is -EV by 1.7%, and I do not know if UTGs chip make up for this. I think throwing in the chance of button doing something stupid makes this a call. |
#9
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Re: $22 Fold AKs on the bubble?
[ QUOTE ]
This is a definite fold. Calling here is awful. [/ QUOTE ] Its only awful if you think the big stack will call. If there is a good chance he will lay it down then its really not a terrible play (it might still be bad, just not terrible). |
#10
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Re: $22 Fold AKs on the bubble?
I think calling here is bad even if you know UTG will lay it down. Given that he may still call, this is an easy fold.
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