[astroglide]

i could see the xbox getting to at least parity, and maybe coming out on top. the big 3rd party developers have mostly converted, the development tools for the xbox are supposed to be infinitely better, and they have at least 6 months of lead time on the console release (pre-christmas should help a bit too despite the price). the boomerang controller is a bit off-putting for the ps3 too.

bear in mind that threaded game design (in order to make use of multiple cpus) is a totally new dimension. the learning curve is going to be especially steep for people in that area, and microsoft has the most dominant development environment on the market so they'll be able to leverage their experience there. if 'digital sna' or whatever it's called takes off it is supposed to be more or less enabling pc games and xbox 360 games to be interchangeable, no signifigant ports necessary. that would be a huge invitation to developers as well to have a 'free' platform release.