[BruceZ]

[ QUOTE ]
Trying to calculate the probability of hitting a nut low by hitting the turn and the flop. You start w/A-2-3-X and the flop it K-10-8. To hit a nut low, I need to hit two cards cards below and 8 but no more than one of my three low cards. I'm not sure how to calculate that. I know how to figure runner runner nut low if I have A-2-x-x, then the equation is 20/45 x 16/44 = 16.2%. But I think the equation is different if you add another low card to my hand. Need a math wizard for this, I think.

Thanks.

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P(4-7 on turn)*P(A-7 on river - turn rank) + P(A-3 on turn)*P(4-7 on river) =

(16/45 * 21/44) + (9/45 * 16/44) =~ 24.2%.