Re: TPNK in Dry Sidepot
PF I'd fold. I hate calling 20% of my stack to play K5 OOP regardless of pot odds.
It's pretty hard for CO to miss this flop. I eyeball ~50 hands you are behind (3 outs or less) and ~65 combo hands where you are ahead but villain has alot of outs (~9) Given the dead money in the pot villain probably calls down all the time.
My crude math is UTG has 1/3 equity in center pot or 5K, leaving 10K left.
CO is asking hero to commit all his chips.
Hero has to call 16K to win 42K (16K + 16K + 10K equity in center) and is getting 2.6 to 1 in the pot. Hero needs to be ~28% in the hand.
Let's say 1/2 the time he has a king and you lose, the other 1/2 the time he has a combo draw and you win 2/3.
Hero is 1/3 in the pot. It eyeballs out. It has high variance which is good.
Push.
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